Polymarket Trader

ChloeLuna

0xc1d34a260304978cd525e3b0a57ea85c7628ef7a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.11
Realized PnL: $154.38
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $499.75
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $375
Potential profit: $375
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.55
Potential payout: $366.67
Potential profit: $366.12
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.45

Yes position

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.35
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $349.65
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$1.65

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.88
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.88

Yes position

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.38
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.63
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.63

Yes position

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.4
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.6
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.58
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.92

No position

Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $165.93
Potential profit: $165.93
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $148.35
Potential profit: $147.91
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$1.55

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.56
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $124.44
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.44

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $117.13
Potential profit: $117.13
User PnL: -$6

No position

Will JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$1

Tesla position

SpaceX vs Tesla - higher valuation on June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.72
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $110.39
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $110
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

DOJ reopens Powell investigation by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.46
Potential payout: $102.43
Potential profit: $101.97
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.54

Down position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.62
Potential payout: $94.83
Potential profit: $94.21
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$1.41

Yes position

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $2.05
Potential payout: $87.04
Potential profit: $84.99
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.21
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.88

No position

Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$1.04

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.64

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.8

No position

Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14

Yes position

Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: $11.09

Yes position

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by less than 3%?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.34

Yes position

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 39%
Multiplier: 2.57x
User PnL: $7.81

United States position

Spread: United States (-1.5)

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.8

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.25

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.9

Over position

United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.1

Yes position

Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.08

No position

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $4.65

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.42

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
User PnL: $2.52

Yes position

Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.42

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 52%
Multiplier: 1.92x
User PnL: $2.22

No position

Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2

Yes position

Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: $2.05

No position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.9

No position

Will Derrick Lewis win by KO or TKO?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.8

No position

Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.8

Yes position

Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.65

Knicks position

Spread: Spurs (-19.5)

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.59

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?

No 11.1% 55 shares
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

No 80% 8.21 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Yes 0.2% 500 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?

No 10.8% 10 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?

No 12.5% 10 shares
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?

No 98.9% 1.14 shares
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?

Yes 64% 5 shares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

No 20% 5 shares
Will Turkey sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?

No 98.6% 2.69 shares
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Yes 0.5% 200 shares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

No 20% 5 shares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

No 20% 20 shares