No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $22.58
- Potential payout
- $22.69
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- User PnL
- $13.3
Polymarket Trader
0xc1d4...61a7
0xc1d4fadc6790b7906f3ed8ce80fe267adc9861a7
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $101.26
- Realized PnL
- $48.05
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $18.87
- Potential profit
- $18.12
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
No position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $11.08
- Potential payout
- $13.11
- Potential profit
- $2.03
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $1.08
No position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $10.66
- Potential payout
- $12.62
- Potential profit
- $1.96
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $8.22
- Potential payout
- $9.62
- Potential profit
- $1.39
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0.28
N
No position
Will Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Aug 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 64%
- Current value
- $5.11
- Potential payout
- $7.99
- Potential profit
- $2.88
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $6.21
- Potential payout
- $6.98
- Potential profit
- $0.77
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $6.23
- Potential payout
- $6.8
- Potential profit
- $0.58
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.2%
- Current value
- $0.66
- Potential payout
- $5.92
- Potential profit
- $5.26
- Multiplier
- 8.97x
- User PnL
- -$0.34
Y
Yes position
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $0.81
- Potential payout
- $5.56
- Potential profit
- $4.75
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
N
No position
Will Brazil reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 72%
- Current value
- $3.83
- Potential payout
- $5.32
- Potential profit
- $1.49
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $4.39
- Potential payout
- $5.26
- Potential profit
- $0.87
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
Will Brazil reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $1.25
- Potential payout
- $4.73
- Potential profit
- $3.48
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.39
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $3.19
- Potential payout
- $3.56
- Potential profit
- $0.37
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.19
N
No position
Will Neymar score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Aug 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $3.16
- Potential payout
- $3.53
- Potential profit
- $0.37
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $2.99
- Potential payout
- $3.38
- Potential profit
- $0.39
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $2.02
- Potential payout
- $3.23
- Potential profit
- $1.21
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $0.65
- Potential payout
- $2.44
- Potential profit
- $1.79
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
No position
Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $1.98
- Potential payout
- $2.34
- Potential profit
- $0.36
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63%
- Current value
- $1.02
- Potential payout
- $1.61
- Potential profit
- $0.6
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $1.04
- Potential payout
- $1.39
- Potential profit
- $0.35
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $1.38
- Potential payout
- $1.39
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.8%
- Current value
- $1.01
- Potential payout
- $1.15
- Potential profit
- $0.14
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.01
N
No position
Will Neymar score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Aug 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.9%
- Current value
- $1.05
- Potential payout
- $1.12
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.27
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.48
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.29
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.26
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.35
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.66
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.02
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Knicks
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $1.66
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
No position
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 13?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.77
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 12?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $0.24
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?No 62% 1.61 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?No 62% 1.61 shares
- US x Cuba military clash in 2026?No 62% 1.61 shares
- Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?No 72% 1.39 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No 87% 1.15 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No 98.3% 0.71 shares
- Will Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 63% 1.59 shares
- Will Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 61% 1.64 shares
- Will Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 59% 1.69 shares
- Will Neymar score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 89.6% 1.12 shares
- Will Neymar score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 85.2% 1.17 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?No 99% 8.27 shares