No position
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $194.51
- Potential payout
- $219.78
- Potential profit
- $25.27
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$5.49
Polymarket Trader
0xC1d8150998494743EEbcfc8b5DAF50b9A6EE0145-1781386966766
0xc1d8150998494743eebcfc8b5daf50b9a6ee0145
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $412.07
- Realized PnL
- $19.98
- Win rate
- 60%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Current value
- $201.6
- Potential payout
- $213.22
- Potential profit
- $11.62
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1.6
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $15.96
- Potential payout
- $19.83
- Potential profit
- $3.87
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $0.96
Yes position
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.17
- Potential profit
- $4.17
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7
Yes position
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.9
Yes position
Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.08
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 75% 13.33 shares
- Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?Yes 48% 4.17 shares
- Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?Yes 99% 9.09 shares
- Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?Yes 22% 9.09 shares
- Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?Yes 89% 10 shares
- Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?Yes 20% 10 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?Yes 89% 11.24 shares
- Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?Yes 85% 11.76 shares
- Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?Yes 82% 13.51 shares
- Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?Yes 37% 13.51 shares
- Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?No 91% 219.78 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 77% 6.49 shares