Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 40%
- Current value
- $3.67
- Potential payout
- $9.18
- Potential profit
- $5.51
- Multiplier
- 2.50x
- User PnL
- -$0.92
Polymarket Trader
0xc1ed...4b66
0xc1edfbe038c3daf74fe247b5bfeceba889cc4b66
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $22.83
- Realized PnL
- $0.61
- Win rate
- 53.8%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $4.15
- Potential payout
- $8.65
- Potential profit
- $4.5
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.78
No position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $3.56
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $4.44
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Will Safepoint's market cap be between $1.1B and $1.3B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $7.28
- Potential payout
- $7.36
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $2.35
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $1.28
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $4.97
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $1.19
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $5.06
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
No position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $1.69
- Potential payout
- $3.05
- Potential profit
- $1.36
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Resolved Context
Closed positions
N
No position
Will the biggest blowout win in the 2026 NBA Finals be by 30 or more points?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.06
Yes position
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.65
Yes position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $68 on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.13
No position
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56
No position
Will Warsh say "Downside" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4
No position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.38
Yes position
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $320 Week of July 6 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.74
Yes position
Will Warsh say "Groupthink" or "Group Think" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.24
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $745 Week of July 6 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.26
No position
Will Applied Aerospace & Defense's market cap be between $2.75B and $3.25B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.38
No position
Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.96
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?Yes 38% 7.5 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $745 Week of July 6 2026?No 40% 8.15 shares
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $68 on July 6?Yes 70% 7.1 shares
- Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $320 Week of July 6 2026?Yes 29% 6 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes 24% 6.25 shares
- Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?No 74% 6 shares
- Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes 20% 6.25 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?No 79% 2.53 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes 50% 9.18 shares
- Will Warsh say "Downside" during June Press Conference?No 59% 3.41 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes 57% 8.65 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No 45% 8 shares