Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $20.37K
- Potential payout
- $25K
- Potential profit
- $4.63K
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$477.5
Polymarket Trader
ningquewulan123
0xc1fd9dd14bef4341dbe82ca74e9fa116ea25ba6c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $36.77K
- Realized PnL
- $30.82K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $9.99K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- $325.01
Yes position
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$3.85K
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 16.1%
- Current value
- $802.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.2K
- Multiplier
- 6.23x
- User PnL
- -$97.5
No position
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 36%
- Current value
- $1.8K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $3.2K
- Multiplier
- 2.78x
- User PnL
- -$1.95K
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $2K
- Potential payout
- $2.28K
- Potential profit
- $285.33
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $432.16
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $776.93
- Potential payout
- $782.01
- Potential profit
- $5.08
- User PnL
- $194.77
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,100 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $530.14
- Potential payout
- $533.88
- Potential profit
- $3.74
- User PnL
- $181.72
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $468.49
- Potential payout
- $471.32
- Potential profit
- $2.83
- User PnL
- $87.52
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $33.64
- Potential payout
- $33.69
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 18%
- Current value
- $2.47
- Potential payout
- $13.71
- Potential profit
- $11.24
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- -$3.56
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.07K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.79K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $3.41K
Rockets position
Rockets vs. Lakers
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.27K
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.24K
Yes position
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06K
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $875
Over position
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 201.5
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $696
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $676.4
No position
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $645
No position
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $619.98
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $584.47
No position
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $530
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,800 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $378.16
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $337.43
No position
Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $325.24
No position
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $272.08
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $240
No position
Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $222.88
No position
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $184.08
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $134.55
No position
Foreign intervention in Gaza by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?No 80% 107.86 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 98.3% 3,177.33 shares
- Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?No 99.8% 8,502.45 shares
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No 92.6% 38,479.46 shares
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No 92.7% 360.89 shares
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No 92.7% 391.57 shares
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No 92.7% 768.07 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 97.5% 1,428.76 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 96.1% 9,972.33 shares
- Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?No 96.6% 1,811.16 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No 97.6% 1,502.1 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 97.4% 11,960.9 shares