Yes position
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $6.03K
- Potential payout
- $927.74K
- Potential profit
- $921.71K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $463.87
Polymarket Trader
JustCrazy
@SkewDealer
0xc21ea96be762bb55041529af6e386e7c53b80215
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $62.34K
- Realized PnL
- $397.76K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $5.98K
- Potential payout
- $920.59K
- Potential profit
- $914.61K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $460.3
Yes position
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $1.75K
- Potential payout
- $698.96K
- Potential profit
- $697.21K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $349.48
Yes position
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $4.32K
- Potential payout
- $664.47K
- Potential profit
- $660.15K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$73.76
Yes position
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $1.49K
- Potential payout
- $595.93K
- Potential profit
- $594.44K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $297.97
Yes position
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $3.82K
- Potential payout
- $587.32K
- Potential profit
- $583.51K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $293.66
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $4.29K
- Potential payout
- $571.72K
- Potential profit
- $567.43K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $285.86
Yes position
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $3.39K
- Potential payout
- $521.14K
- Potential profit
- $517.75K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $254.32
Yes position
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $3.28K
- Potential payout
- $504K
- Potential profit
- $500.72K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $252
Yes position
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $3.16K
- Potential payout
- $485.64K
- Potential profit
- $482.48K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $242.82
Yes position
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $675.29
- Potential payout
- $450.19K
- Potential profit
- $449.52K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $225.1
Yes position
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $975.25
- Potential payout
- $390.1K
- Potential profit
- $389.12K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $195.05
Yes position
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $2.19K
- Potential payout
- $337.33K
- Potential profit
- $335.14K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $161.92
Yes position
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $2.19K
- Potential payout
- $337.23K
- Potential profit
- $335.03K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $165.24
Yes position
Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $840.07
- Potential payout
- $336.03K
- Potential profit
- $335.19K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $168.01
Yes position
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $2.18K
- Potential payout
- $335.82K
- Potential profit
- $333.64K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $164.55
Yes position
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $2.1K
- Potential payout
- $323.48K
- Potential profit
- $321.37K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$12.62
Yes position
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $2.05K
- Potential payout
- $315.96K
- Potential profit
- $313.9K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $157.98
Yes position
Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $1.7K
- Potential payout
- $309.88K
- Potential profit
- $308.18K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- $109.39
Yes position
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $1.99K
- Potential payout
- $306.2K
- Potential profit
- $304.21K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$153.1
Yes position
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $2.29K
- Potential payout
- $306K
- Potential profit
- $303.7K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $153
Yes position
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $1.94K
- Potential payout
- $298.69K
- Potential profit
- $296.75K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $149.35
Yes position
Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $1.88K
- Potential payout
- $289.72K
- Potential profit
- $287.83K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $144.86
Yes position
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $1.81K
- Potential payout
- $278.54K
- Potential profit
- $276.73K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $139.27
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.57x
- User PnL
- $59.75K
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $55.94K
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.7%
- Multiplier
- 9.39x
- User PnL
- $40.83K
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- $39.94K
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.2%
- Multiplier
- 9.85x
- User PnL
- $29.28K
No position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $26.95K
Yes position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.68K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.85K
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- $21.05K
No position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.1K
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- $9.44K
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 66.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $8.1K
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.6%
- Multiplier
- 39.22x
- User PnL
- $7.4K
No position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $5.76K
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.26K
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 83.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $5.02K
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 24.2%
- Multiplier
- 4.14x
- User PnL
- $4.03K
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.61K
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 75.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $3.44K
No position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $3.41K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $3.33K
No position
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $3.01K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.88K
Yes position
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $1.7K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 0.6% 37,774.3 shares
- Will Ed Davey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes 0.1% 67,450.64 shares
- Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 0.1% 1,766.76 shares
- Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 0.5% 3,303.6 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 45.8% 40.9 shares
- Roland Garros WTA: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Elena RybakinaElena Rybakina 90% 18 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?No 0.3% 33,333 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 0.6% 5.03 shares
- Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes 0.2% 17,267.91 shares
- Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes 0.2% 15,000 shares
- Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.6% 510.01 shares
- Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?Yes 98.7% 1,618.93 shares