Yes position
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $5.16K
- Potential payout
- $16.92K
- Potential profit
- $11.76K
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$2.62K
Polymarket Trader
cryprobull
@mcfly0x
0xc2281c9e3a960a8cc8f620d0f4d2bd073113d796
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.16K
- Realized PnL
- $8.66
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in the first hour?
Ends Nov 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.36
No position
Bitcoin above $105,000 on February 7?
Ends Feb 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.37
Yes position
Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in January?
Ends Feb 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 20?
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.30-1.34ºC in January 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will AC Milan win the UEFA Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000.00 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Ethereum above $3,400 on February 7?
Ends Feb 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
$WIF listed on Coinbase in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Florida position
Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Wisconsin position
Will Kamala do better in Georgia or Wisconsin?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Liverpool wins the Premier League?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
East coast port strike in January?
Ends Jan 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes 27% 5 shares
- Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?Yes 99.8% 7.62 shares
- Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?Yes 99.9% 7.63 shares
- Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 20?Yes 99.4% 7.63 shares
- MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in the first hour?Yes 96.9% 397.6 shares
- MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in the first hour?Yes 97% 206 shares
- MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in the first hour?Yes 97% 257 shares
- MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in the first hour?Yes 97% 257 shares
- MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in the first hour?Yes 96.4% 1,084.91 shares
- MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in the first hour?Yes 96.4% 1.27 shares
- Over $10M committed to the ZKLSOL raise on MetaDAO?No 0.1% 1,218.88 shares
- Over $10M committed to the ZKLSOL raise on MetaDAO?No 41.7% 1,194.95 shares