Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.2%
- Current value
- $11.32
- Potential payout
- $48.78
- Potential profit
- $37.47
- Multiplier
- 4.31x
- User PnL
- $2.29
Polymarket Trader
0xc22b...7fdf
0xc22becc8c09f1793e31fe549980b606478267fdf
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $12.89
- Realized PnL
- $302.69
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $23.99
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.3%
- Current value
- $0.43
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $5.57
- Multiplier
- 13.79x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $1.12
- Potential payout
- $2.31
- Potential profit
- $1.19
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $120.69
Down position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $52.13
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $23.93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 8AM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.76
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.94
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.47
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.04
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.92
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.43
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.04
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.23
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.03
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 23, 8AM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.65
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.48
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.37
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.36
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.65
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.33
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.33
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.11
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.08
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 23, 11AM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETUp 90% 5.52 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 6?Yes 48% 0.06 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 7?Yes 8% 6 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETUp 96% 5.18 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 6?Yes 50% 0.01 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 6?Yes 50% 0.01 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 6?Yes 51% 2.39 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 10:45PM-11:00PM ETUp 77% 6.43 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 9:45PM-10:00PM ETUp 95% 5.23 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 9:00PM-9:15PM ETUp 81% 6.14 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 5?Yes 10.2% 11.32 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 5?Yes 0.8% 5 shares