Polymarket Trader

Willie1

0xc22e6f366c977b213b0e0ea2583072aadaba54eb

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $758.58
Realized PnL: $2.37K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 5
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $654.58
Potential payout: $1.38K
Potential profit: $723.48
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$10.42

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $806.45
Potential profit: $806.45
User PnL: -$250

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $784.3
Potential profit: $784.3
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

US announces military support of Iran opposition by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $762.02
Potential profit: $762.02
User PnL: -$477.8

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $625
Potential profit: $625
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $104
Potential payout: $533.33
Potential profit: $429.33
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$56

Yes position

US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $344.19
Potential profit: $344.19
User PnL: -$100

No position

US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $275
Potential profit: $275
User PnL: -$22

Conor McGregor position

UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $233.33
Potential profit: $233.33
User PnL: -$70

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $208.33
Potential profit: $208.33
User PnL: -$25

Elisha Ellison position

UFC 329: Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison (Heavyweight, Prelims)

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $157.89
Potential profit: $157.89
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $147.23
Potential profit: $147.23
User PnL: -$58.89

Alex Pereira position

UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.28
Potential profit: $59.28
User PnL: -$33.79

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Sean Strickland position

UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12K

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $530.66

Justin Gaethje position

UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $376.19

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $276.83

Paddy Pimblett position

UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.83

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

Yes 47% 351.06 shares
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)

Conor McGregor 30% 233.33 shares
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)

Paddy Pimblett 48% 145.83 shares
UFC 329: Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison (Heavyweight, Prelims)

Elisha Ellison 9.5% 157.89 shares
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

Yes 48.7% 1,027 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Justin Gaethje 21% 476.19 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Alex Pereira 57% 59.28 shares
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Sean Strickland 21% 126.14 shares
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Sean Strickland 21% 238.1 shares
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Sean Strickland 21% 1,047.62 shares
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?

Yes 12% 208.33 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes 30% 533.33 shares