Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $350
- Potential profit
- $350
- User PnL
- -$10.65
Polymarket Trader
wef2
0xc245fd018d14c15e01cfd6b5fdfa1bdd3fccbccb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $50.91
- Realized PnL
- $9.78K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$27
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.2%
- Current value
- $27.87
- Potential payout
- $249.98
- Potential profit
- $222.11
- Multiplier
- 8.97x
- User PnL
- -$16.32
Yes position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.83
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $149.18
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$80.18
Yes position
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $104.48
- Potential profit
- $104.48
- User PnL
- -$12.94
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$25.5
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$26.9
No position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.39
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $59.61
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$2.25
Yes position
Epstein storage units raided in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $19.31
- Potential payout
- $54.39
- Potential profit
- $35.08
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- -$1.32
No position
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 5–10%?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.33
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.68
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$1.73
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $5.01
- Potential profit
- $4.97
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$2.54
Yes position
Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 71%
- Current value
- $2.15
- Potential payout
- $3.03
- Potential profit
- $0.88
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- $0.12
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Illinois position
South Carolina vs. Illinois
Ends Jan 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.31K
Red Wings position
Red Wings vs. Blue Jackets
Ends Jan 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.68K
No position
Will Brentford vs. Arsenal end in a draw?
Ends Jan 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4K
No position
Will Leicester win on 2025-01-04?
Ends Jan 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
Nuggets position
Hawks vs. Nuggets
Ends Jan 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $270
Celtics position
Celtics vs. Timberwolves
Ends Jan 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $148.4
Yes position
Will Fidesz-KDNP win <70 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $90.3
No position
Will Iran strike Saudi Arabia in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $87.17
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $78.9
Up position
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on February 2?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $48.2
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.99
Yes position
Will Hillary Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $39
No position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39
Yes position
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $37.03
Yes position
Iran Strike on Israel by January 31?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $36
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $35.9
Up position
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on February 2?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29
No position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.5
Yes position
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.42
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.15
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on April 27?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?No 43.1% 159.99 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?Yes 83.1% 100 shares
- Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes 12% 113 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No 47% 60 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?Yes 26.9% 100 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 27?No 69% 49.23 shares
- Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?No 44.2% 150 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?No 99.5% 50 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 58.5% 100 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 58.5% 50 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 58.5% 100 shares
- Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?No 99.1% 2.63 shares