Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $4.5K
- Potential payout
- $23.06K
- Potential profit
- $18.56K
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $1.04K
Polymarket Trader
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0xc24901c1189d2b3986a73bb399f146dbbbf03e9a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.91K
- Realized PnL
- -$1.37K
- Win rate
- 60%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $3.41K
- Potential payout
- $17.49K
- Potential profit
- $14.08K
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $786.95
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Israel target an Iranian oil or gas facility?
Ends Oct 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $997.9
No position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $976.82
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?
Ends Nov 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $199.03
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.53
Yes position
European Central Bank cuts rates in Oct meeting?
Ends Oct 17, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.33
No position
Will Israel target Tehran?
Ends Oct 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.63
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?
Ends Nov 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$75
No position
KSI's "Thick Of It" debuts on Billboard hot 100?
Ends Oct 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$182
Yes position
Israel military response against Iran by Sunday?
Ends Oct 6, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.13K
Yes position
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?
Ends Oct 11, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.23K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 15% 8,660.46 shares
- Israel military response against Iran by Sunday?Yes 15% 1,882.81 shares
- Israel military response against Iran by Sunday?Yes 14% 492.64 shares
- Will Israel target Tehran?No 95% 72.63 shares
- Will Israel target an Iranian oil or gas facility?No 85% 5,265.3 shares
- Will Israel target an Iranian oil or gas facility?No 85% 1,387.38 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?No 95.8% 879.28 shares