Polymarket Trader

0xc25074089e41E0C579770242429d7f0c3FFF4Faf-1777565830339

0xc25074089e41e0c579770242429d7f0c3fff4faf

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $446.82
Realized PnL: $185.95
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $407.71
Potential profit: $407.71
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 73.1%
Current value: $153.89
Potential payout: $210.53
Potential profit: $56.63
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: $53.89

Yes position

Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.27
Potential payout: $178.44
Potential profit: $178.18
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$9.73

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $74.28
Potential payout: $144.23
Potential profit: $69.95
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$0.72

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $7.64
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $135.21
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: -$2.36

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $5.65
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $94.35
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: -$3.35

No position

Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$30

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $62.5
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $8.93
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $12.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70.79
Potential profit: $70.79
User PnL: -$25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.48
Potential profit: $62.48
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $13.03
Potential payout: $60.61
Potential profit: $47.58
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$6.97

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.6%
Current value: $12.98
Potential payout: $60.24
Potential profit: $47.26
Multiplier: 4.64x
User PnL: $2.98

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 June 1-7?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.81
Potential profit: $54.81
User PnL: -$1.48

Yes position

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 38.2%
Current value: $20.27
Potential payout: $53.05
Potential profit: $32.79
Multiplier: 2.62x
User PnL: $0.27

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.08
Potential profit: $52.08
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 64%
Current value: $32.49
Potential payout: $50.77
Potential profit: $18.28
Multiplier: 1.56x
User PnL: -$0.51

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $17.08
Potential payout: $46.8
Potential profit: $29.72
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: -$11.72

No position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $13.87
Potential payout: $45.49
Potential profit: $31.62
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$13.86

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.72
Potential profit: $34.72
User PnL: -$25

No position

Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.32
Potential profit: $34.32
User PnL: -$22.5

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.1%
Current value: $3.88
Potential payout: $29.76
Potential profit: $25.88
Multiplier: 7.66x
User PnL: -$1.12

Yes position

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $4.56
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $24.85
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$5.44

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $28.57
User PnL: -$6

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $24.41
Potential payout: $27.59
Potential profit: $3.17
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $8.41

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.42

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

No position

Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.33

No position

Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.95

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.79

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $9.57

No position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.99

Yes position

Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.86

B8 position

Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.66

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.86

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.43

9z position

Counter-Strike: 9z vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.26

No position

Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $4.93

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.5

TheMongolz position

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.27

BIG Academy position

Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs BIG Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group C

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.12

Liquid position

Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic - Map 1 Winner

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.05

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
User PnL: $2.61

FaZe position

Counter-Strike: FaZe vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.33

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.06

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.76

Natus Vincere position

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.48

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Down 27% 18.52 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Down 21% 23.81 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

Up 52% 9.62 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

Down 34% 17.65 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET

Up 21% 28.57 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

Down 50% 31.57 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

Down 19% 31.58 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Up 49% 26.24 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Up 22.9% 26.24 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

Down 97% 8 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

Down 75% 8 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

Down 81.9% 61.05 shares