Polymarket Trader

0xc2595a227e7BAdcfA521175BbbA145CeC5CD8684-1759713285422

0xc2595a227e7badcfa521175bbba145cec5cd8684

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $353.66
Realized PnL: $206.21
Win rate: 90.9%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 22
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $327.66
Potential payout: $392.41
Potential profit: $64.75
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$5.89

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $25.99
Potential payout: $28.41
Potential profit: $2.41
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.65
Potential profit: $2.65
User PnL: -$0.95

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.93
Potential profit: $1.93
User PnL: -$0.96

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.36

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.39

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.08

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.88

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.9

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.23

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $8.18

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.66

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.83

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.16

Yes position

Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.08

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.8

Yes position

Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58

Yes position

Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

No position

Trump x Khamenei talk in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.58

No position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.47

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Trump Insult Xi this week?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$2.93

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 85% 392.41 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

No 88% 28.41 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 95% 315.79 shares
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Yes 83% 325.84 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Yes 96.6% 282.31 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 89.6% 20.09 shares
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?

Yes 91% 17.58 shares
Will Trump Insult Xi this week?

No 96.8% 16.46 shares
Will Trump Insult Xi this week?

No 97.2% 16.46 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Yes 94.2% 212.31 shares
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?

Yes 99.8% 217.66 shares
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?

Yes 95.1% 217.67 shares