No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2.37
- Potential payout
- $4.74K
- Potential profit
- $4.74K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$97.63
Polymarket Trader
0xc28D883DE465dc464D267E639Ac81822bE971773-1771886294068
0xc28d883de465dc464d267e639ac81822be971773
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.21K
- Realized PnL
- $4.52K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $3.33K
- Potential profit
- $3.33K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$15
N
No position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 72%
- Current value
- $1.71K
- Potential payout
- $2.38K
- Potential profit
- $666.67
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- -$285.71
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $1.4K
- Potential payout
- $1.88K
- Potential profit
- $478.13
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $196.88
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $1.5K
- Potential payout
- $1.79K
- Potential profit
- $295.82
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$2.96
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.74K
- Potential profit
- $1.74K
- User PnL
- -$500
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $592.86
- Potential payout
- $1.43K
- Potential profit
- $835.71
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- $292.86
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.16K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $709.81
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $188.89
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 10, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $165
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?No 84% 2,380.96 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.6% 3,333.33 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 21% 1,428.57 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?No 83.7% 1,792.86 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 64% 1,875 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 2.1% 4,740.37 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?No 90% 1,888.89 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?Yes 28.7% 1,741.41 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?Yes 75.8% 1,573.3 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?Yes 50.9% 2,342.27 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?Yes 71% 1,136.45 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?Yes 49.2% 6,506.32 shares