Polymarket Trader

Donerkebab

0xc291cfeddb80a1d0c630973f01aef6860c9b0220

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $67.5
Realized PnL: $7.83K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $67.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.93K
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $41.5

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-01-10?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $857.89
Potential profit: $857.89
User PnL: -$62.76

No position

Will Donald Trump say "nuclear" 3+ times during Israel President events on December 29?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $753.31
Potential profit: $753.31
User PnL: -$201.51

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $727.65
Potential profit: $727.65
User PnL: -$272.38

Yes position

Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in less than 1 hour?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$9.49

Germany position

Spread: Germany (-1.5)

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $434.62
Potential profit: $434.62
User PnL: -$145.51

Yes position

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-30?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $420
Potential profit: $420
User PnL: -$48.4

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 28, 7PM ET

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $409.98
Potential profit: $409.98
User PnL: -$32.9

Alex Michelsen position

Miami Open: Alex Michelsen vs Jannik Sinner

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) settle over $80 on the final trading day of January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$6.4

Yes position

Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$70.5

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $399.99
Potential profit: $399.99
User PnL: -$15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 9AM ET

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $381.64
Potential profit: $381.64
User PnL: -$127.02

Yes position

Will FC Basel 1893 win on 2026-01-22?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $340
Potential profit: $340
User PnL: -$63.7

Djokovic position

Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $335
Potential profit: $335
User PnL: -$78.15

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $324.32
Potential profit: $324.32
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $321.97
Potential profit: $321.97
User PnL: -$45

Yes position

Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $312.5
Potential profit: $312.5
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-20?

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $305
Potential profit: $305
User PnL: -$56.9

Yes position

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-07?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $303.4
Potential profit: $303.4
User PnL: -$116.69

Yes position

Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 1 hour and 15 minutes?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$23.7

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 26, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$24

Yes position

Will Brentford FC win on 2026-01-17?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$35

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will MrBeast x Ronaldo video get less than 50m views on day 1?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $855.66

Yes position

Will $HAWK FDV be $30,000,000 or more one day after launch?

Ends Dec 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $840.55

No position

Will Ronaldo x MrBeast video get >20m views on day 1?

Ends Nov 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $396.65

Yes position

Will $Fartcoin hit $1b FDV in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $384.93

No position

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $384.82

Yes position

Will Trump comment on New Jersey drones by Sunday?

Ends Dec 15, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $364.16

No position

Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $314.19

Yes position

Biden statement on Mystery Drones by Friday?

Ends Dec 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $308.95

No position

Kai and Speed win Fortnite before Sunday?

Ends Dec 28, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $296.17

No position

Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $294.15

Yes position

Will Atletico Madrid beat Barcelona?

Ends Dec 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $287.21

Yes position

Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2025-12-22?

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $287.12

Yes position

No Brian Thompson Perp arrested by Sunday?

Ends Dec 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $286.5

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $284

Yes position

Will Bryson complete the Hole in 1 Challenge by Friday?

Ends Nov 28, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $274.8

Yes position

Ripple above $2.15 on January 3?

Ends Jan 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $274.4

Yes position

Will Ethereum hit $3,800 by Friday?

Ends Dec 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $263.41

Yes position

Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-06?

Ends Dec 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $238.61

Sharks position

Devils vs. Sharks

Ends Jan 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $216

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $214.55

Yes position

Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2025-12-05?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $210.4

Yes position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Friday?

Ends Dec 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $197.18

Yes position

Will Trump mention DeepSeek by Friday?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $182.69

Yes position

Will Newcastle win on 2025-01-04?

Ends Jan 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $176.24

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

Up 84% 65.7 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

Up 31% 16.13 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

Up 42% 23.82 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

Up 29% 17.24 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

Up 28% 17.86 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

Up 49% 10.2 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

Up 50% 10 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

Up 50% 40 shares
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverev

Taylor Fritz 52% 5.77 shares
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverev

Taylor Fritz 52% 96.15 shares
Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Struff (+2.5)

Struff 40% 25 shares
Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Struff (+2.5)

Struff 37% 20 shares