Yes position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $1.35
- Potential payout
- $27
- Potential profit
- $25.65
- Multiplier
- 20.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.67
Polymarket Trader
0xc2a3...aed1
0xc2a39b6e6213b16c06c3302a3a1088ff3bdcaed1
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $68.03
- Realized PnL
- $0.45
- Win rate
- 41.7%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $21.28
- Potential payout
- $23
- Potential profit
- $1.73
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $9.77
Yes position
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46%
- Current value
- $7.82
- Potential payout
- $17
- Potential profit
- $9.18
- Multiplier
- 2.17x
- User PnL
- $0.68
Yes position
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $1.2
- Potential payout
- $16
- Potential profit
- $14.8
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$6.8
No position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $12.53
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $1.47
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.4%
- Current value
- $3.13
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $7.87
- Multiplier
- 3.52x
- User PnL
- -$1.43
Yes position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $2.48
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $8.53
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- $0.39
Yes position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $1.21
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $9.79
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.44
Yes position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $2.21
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $6.8
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$1.84
No position
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $8.24
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $0.77
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.31
Yes position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $1.27
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $3.73
- Multiplier
- 3.93x
- User PnL
- -$1.39
No position
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $4.43
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.58
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18%
- Current value
- $0.9
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.1
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
No position
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $4
- User PnL
- -$1.56
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $5.66
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
China coup attempt before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68%
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 32%
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Yes position
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Yes position
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.84
No position
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- -$4.54
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?Yes 7.5% 27 shares
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?Yes 15% 11 shares
- Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?Yes 36.6% 7 shares
- Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 88% 9 shares
- Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?No 90% 5 shares
- Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 19% 11 shares
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?No 90% 6 shares
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?No 90% 8 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 53.2% 5 shares
- Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?No 97.2% 5 shares
- China coup attempt before 2027?No 95% 5 shares
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Yes 83% 7 shares