Y
Yes position
Will Warsh say "FED" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $28.52
- Potential payout
- $31.34
- Potential profit
- $2.82
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $7.52
Polymarket Trader
ephraim123
0xc2b9e536a22a5a09365a30defed3ff36a8339e85
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $67.39
- Realized PnL
- $80.01
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?
Ends Aug 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $1.55
- Potential payout
- $17.24
- Potential profit
- $15.69
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$3.45
Y
Yes position
Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $9.93
- Potential payout
- $13.7
- Potential profit
- $3.77
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will Warsh say "Stable" or "Stability" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $10.68
- Potential payout
- $12.07
- Potential profit
- $1.39
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $3.68
Yes position
Will Warsh say "Balance Sheet" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 69%
- Current value
- $4.1
- Potential payout
- $5.94
- Potential profit
- $1.84
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Y
Yes position
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 33%
- Current value
- $1.79
- Potential payout
- $5.43
- Potential profit
- $3.64
- Multiplier
- 3.03x
- User PnL
- -$1.21
No position
Will Warsh say "Stock" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $2.42
- Potential payout
- $3.81
- Potential profit
- $1.39
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $0.02
N
No position
Will Warsh say "Depression" or "Recession" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $2.45
- Potential payout
- $3.48
- Potential profit
- $1.03
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will Warsh say "All-Time High" or "All-Time Low" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $2.06
- Potential payout
- $3.06
- Potential profit
- $0.99
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Warsh say "Groupthink" or "Group Think" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $2.1
- Potential payout
- $2.9
- Potential profit
- $0.8
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Y
Yes position
Will Warsh say "Jerome" or "Powell" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 64%
- Current value
- $1.78
- Potential payout
- $2.78
- Potential profit
- $1
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- $0.28
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.26
Yes position
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.71
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.2
Yes position
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $4.35
Y
Yes position
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.21
Yes position
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.13
Yes position
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-04?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.78
Yes position
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.7
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.67
Yes position
Will Urawa Red Diamonds win on 2026-05-06?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.64
Yes position
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $3.2
Yes position
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $2.89
Yes position
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.39
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.15
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92
Yes position
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.54
Yes position
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43
Yes position
Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-05-06?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31
Yes position
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22
Yes position
Will Warsh say "Dual Mandate" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $1.11
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.98
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Warsh say "Balance Sheet" during June Press Conference?Yes 67% 2.69 shares
- Will Warsh say "Jerome" or "Powell" during June Press Conference?Yes 54% 2.78 shares
- Will Warsh say "Dual Mandate" during June Press Conference?Yes 84% 3.7 shares
- Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during June Press Conference?Yes 49% 2.04 shares
- Will Warsh say "Money" during June Press Conference?Yes 46% 3.77 shares
- Will Warsh say "Balance Sheet" during June Press Conference?Yes 77% 3.25 shares
- Will Warsh say "Money" during June Press Conference?Yes 54% 1.85 shares
- Will Warsh say "All-Time High" or "All-Time Low" during June Press Conference?No 67% 1.49 shares
- Will Warsh say "Balance Sheet" during June Press Conference?Yes 75% 6.66 shares
- Will Warsh say "Stock" during June Press Conference?No 63% 2.22 shares
- Will Warsh say "Money" during June Press Conference?Yes 52% 1.92 shares
- Will Warsh say "Depression" or "Recession" during June Press Conference?No 59% 1.69 shares