No position
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $36.08
- Potential payout
- $39
- Potential profit
- $2.92
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $16.58
Polymarket Trader
0xc2bd...fa9d
0xc2bd0c5ff306e6aa5b0218fdcd0cbabb054bfa9d
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $79.12
- Realized PnL
- -$34.63
- Win rate
- 42.9%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.4%
- Current value
- $1.41
- Potential payout
- $22
- Potential profit
- $20.59
- Multiplier
- 15.63x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
Yes position
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.6%
- Current value
- $5.12
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $8.88
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $10.92
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $2.08
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $0.52
Yes position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $0.95
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.05
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
China coup attempt before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $7.69
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $0.31
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Yes position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $1.12
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $5.88
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
No position
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $6.34
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $0.67
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $2.85
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $3.15
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.48
Yes position
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $5.61
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $0.39
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $2.61
Yes position
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $1.05
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $4.95
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $6.46
No position
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.72
No position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$6.46
No position
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$14.43
Yes position
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$20.94
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?Yes 10% 10 shares
- Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 21% 6 shares
- Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?No 88% 7 shares
- China coup attempt before 2027?No 97.2% 8 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 55.5% 6 shares
- Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?Yes 33.7% 9 shares
- Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?Yes 29.9% 5 shares
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?Yes 7.4% 22 shares
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No 93.4% 8 shares
- Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?No 80% 13 shares
- Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 20% 7 shares
- Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?Yes 95.1% 5 shares