Polymarket Trader

philwa

0xc2ca8a8cd7a75d6dd5b0f11f90ecee762eff4419

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $371.55
Realized PnL: $492.08
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.69
Potential payout: $98.99
Potential profit: $98.3
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$4.36

Yes position

Will the New Orleans Saints draft a quarterback in the first round of the 2026 NFL Draft?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $98.03
Potential profit: $98.03
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Alicia Bárcena be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $96.15
Potential profit: $96.01
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$4.86

Yes position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $1.04
Potential payout: $94.26
Potential profit: $93.23
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: -$3.96

Yes position

Will Jernej Vrtovec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.9
Potential profit: $90.9
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Bruno Donat be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $84.03
Potential profit: $83.9
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$4.92

Yes position

Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $81.3
Potential profit: $81.3
User PnL: -$5.04

Hannover 96 position

Spread: Hannover 96 (-2.5)

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.68
Potential profit: $68.68
User PnL: -$10.13

Yes position

Will Jacinda Ardern be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $0.9
Potential payout: $52.91
Potential profit: $52.01
Multiplier: 58.82x
User PnL: -$4.13

Yes position

Will Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $3.72
Potential payout: $50.25
Potential profit: $46.53
Multiplier: 13.51x
User PnL: -$1.31

No position

Will Jenny Costa Honeycutt be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.59
Potential profit: $46.59
User PnL: -$40

No position

Will the US add between 150k and 200k jobs in May?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.74
Potential profit: $44.74
User PnL: -$40.22

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $39.78
Potential payout: $41.9
Potential profit: $2.12
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$0.23

No position

Exact Score: Beijing Guoan FC 1 - 2 Henan FC?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.88
Potential profit: $41.88
User PnL: -$40.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.88
Potential profit: $41.88
User PnL: -$38.72

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $41.71
Potential payout: $41.77
Potential profit: $0.06
User PnL: $1.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $41.64
Potential payout: $41.66
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $1.65

No position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $41.64
Potential payout: $41.66
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $1.65

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $41.16
Potential payout: $41.66
Potential profit: $0.5
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.17

No position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $41.62
Potential payout: $41.64
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $1.6

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $41.48
Potential payout: $41.51
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $1.47

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 91.6%
Current value: $37.95
Potential payout: $41.45
Potential profit: $3.5
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$2.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 91.6%
Current value: $37.95
Potential payout: $41.45
Potential profit: $3.5
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$2.05

Over position

VfL Bochum vs. Hannover 96: O/U 4.5

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.33
Potential profit: $41.33
User PnL: -$10.09

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $72.88

Yes position

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.99

Yes position

Will VfL Bochum vs. Hannover 96 end in a draw?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.9

Over position

Cagliari Calcio vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 4.5

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.7

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.19

Yes position

Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.2

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $25

Over position

Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.31

Yes position

Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Atlantic Division?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.58

No position

Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 5% and 10%?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.62

G2 position

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.19

No position

CSD Colo-Colo vs. CD Palestino: Both Teams to Score

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.16

Over position

Hannover 96 vs. SC Preußen Münster: O/U 4.5

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Canada position

World Championships: Canada vs. Norway

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.44

devils.one position

LoL: Lodis vs devils.one - Game 2 Winner

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.33

Over position

Cagliari Calcio vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.23

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.94

Under position

Magic vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 112.5

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.86

Yes position

Will Jeremiyah Love be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.83

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.23

Under position

RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. CD Mirandés: O/U 4.5

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.11

Over position

AS Roma vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 3.5

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.91

Switzerland position

World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.84

Under position

HNK Hajduk Split vs. NK Osijek: O/U 1.5

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.62

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 0.5

Over 96% 25 shares
Exact Score: Qingdao Hainiu FC 2 - 0 Yunnan Yukun FC?

No 96% 41.88 shares
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?

No 99% 15.15 shares
Türkiye vs. United States: Draw at halftime?

No 55% 34.78 shares
Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 95% 16 shares
Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 91% 22.09 shares
Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 90.4% 22.13 shares
Ange-Yoan Bonny: 2+ goals

No 84% 20 shares
Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?

No 99% 5 shares
Will Croatia win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 91.9% 21.77 shares
Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 91% 22.09 shares
Ismael Saibari: 2+ goals

No 86% 23.39 shares