Polymarket Trader

XaoNinho

0xc2cf473855d4d6012a020fa5708464f891413ff1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $20.01
Realized PnL: $529.29
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will "Scream 7" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 8.5m?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $155.44
Potential profit: $155.44
User PnL: -$42

Yes position

Will "Karate Kid: Legends" gross $26m or more but less than $29m opening weekend?

Ends Jun 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105.39
Potential profit: $105.39
User PnL: -$9.49

Yes position

Will "Jackass: Best and Last" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 11m?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $18
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $82
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 12.5m and 13.5m?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $97.22
Potential profit: $97.22
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 160m and 170m?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.73
Potential profit: $61.73
User PnL: -$4.87

Yes position

Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 170m and 180m?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.69
Potential profit: $61.69
User PnL: -$5.1

Yes position

Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 160m?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.97
Potential profit: $60.97
User PnL: -$4.12

Yes position

Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.97
Potential profit: $60.97
User PnL: -$8.88

Yes position

Will "Scary Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 17m?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.34
Potential profit: $51.34
User PnL: -$22

Yes position

Will "I Love Boosters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 5m?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.74
Potential profit: $50.74
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 102m and 112m?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.29
Potential profit: $49.29
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 44m and 48m?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.21
Potential profit: $37.21
User PnL: -$1.6

Yes position

Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.39
Potential profit: $24.39
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will "Jackass: Best and Last" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $2.01
Potential payout: $15.49
Potential profit: $13.48
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: $0.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will 'Wicked' gross between $105-115m opening weekend?

Ends Nov 25, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.71

Yes position

Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.81

Yes position

Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.75

Yes position

Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.55

Yes position

Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.5

Yes position

Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $25.53

Yes position

Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.91

Yes position

Will "How to Make a Killing" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.02

Yes position

Will "Predator: Badlands" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 33m?

Ends Nov 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.14

Yes position

Will "Black Phone 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 26m?

Ends Oct 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.49

90k position

Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18.44

Yes position

Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.43

Yes position

Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18.15

Yes position

Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.28

Yes position

Will "How to Make a Killing" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 3.5m?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.11

Yes position

Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.97

Yes position

Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 15m?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.71

Yes position

Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.36

Yes position

Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $116-124m?

Ends Jul 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.24

Yes position

Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross between $160-170m opening weekend?

Ends May 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.97

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,750 by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.36

Yes position

Will 'Minecraft' gross between 48-64m on opening weekend?

Ends Apr 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.78

Yes position

Will 'Last Breath' between 6-9m on its opening weekend?

Ends Mar 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.68

No position

Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.39

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will "Jackass: Best and Last" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m?

Yes 12.9% 15.49 shares
Will "Jackass: Best and Last" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 11m?

Yes 8% 100 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?

Yes 0.2% 75.38 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m?

Yes 21.5% 50 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?

Yes 13% 25.38 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?

Yes 12% 50 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m?

Yes 12% 50 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?

Yes 8% 75 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?

Yes 9% 75 shares
Will "Disclosure Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 22m?

Yes 4% 52.66 shares
Will "Disclosure Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 22m?

Yes 12.7% 52.67 shares
Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m?

Yes 80.2% 23.43 shares