Yes position
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $425.8
- Potential payout
- $1.74K
- Potential profit
- $1.31K
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$60.83
Polymarket Trader
.Bicameral-Mind.
0xc2d6f8bdaa59239b57cdfc42e5d9148cffa72ee9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.02K
- Realized PnL
- $11.96
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $468.55
- Potential payout
- $646.27
- Potential profit
- $177.72
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $68.55
No position
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Ends Aug 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $241.07
- Potential payout
- $567.22
- Potential profit
- $326.15
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$8.93
No position
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?
Ends Jan 3, 2027- Implied probability
- 36%
- Current value
- $202.57
- Potential payout
- $562.69
- Potential profit
- $360.12
- Multiplier
- 2.78x
- User PnL
- $2.57
Yes position
Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $287.5
- Potential payout
- $293.81
- Potential profit
- $6.32
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $2.5
No position
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $128.24
- Potential payout
- $231.06
- Potential profit
- $102.82
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $7.85
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $95.68
- Potential payout
- $123.46
- Potential profit
- $27.78
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$4.32
No position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.2%
- Current value
- $99.59
- Potential payout
- $118.34
- Potential profit
- $18.76
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- -$0.41
No position
Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 66%
- Current value
- $69.13
- Potential payout
- $104.75
- Potential profit
- $35.61
- Multiplier
- 1.52x
- User PnL
- $8.33
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.31
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$3.55
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$13.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will France win on 2026-07-09? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? AND Will England win on 2026-07-11?12% 120.44 shares
- Will France win on 2026-07-09? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? AND Will England win on 2026-07-11?12.1% 806.62 shares
- Will France win on 2026-07-09? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? AND Will England win on 2026-07-11?12.1% 806.62 shares
- Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?No 52.1% 231.06 shares
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?Yes 61.9% 646.27 shares
- US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No 44.1% 567.22 shares
- Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?No 35.5% 562.69 shares
- Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes 28% 1,737.96 shares
- Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?Yes 97% 293.81 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 84.5% 118.34 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 81% 123.46 shares
- Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?No 58% 104.75 shares