Polymarket Trader

ktv.01

0xc2d7fef7f24d389cd28d52b48e6ecb172490deb5

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $3.35K
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 54%
Current value: $548.33
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $467.1
Multiplier: 1.85x
User PnL: -$44.46

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $122.27
Potential payout: $627
Potential profit: $504.74
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$4.81

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $24.87
Potential payout: $452.11
Potential profit: $427.24
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$17.32

No position

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $362.23
Potential payout: $449.98
Potential profit: $87.75
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $11.16

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $59.42
Potential payout: $440.18
Potential profit: $380.76
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$23.55

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $55.35
Potential payout: $410
Potential profit: $354.65
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$8.01

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $410
Potential profit: $410
User PnL: -$210.26

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $404.1
Potential profit: $404.1
User PnL: -$83.08

No position

Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $323.73
Potential profit: $323.73
User PnL: -$18.51

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $30.6
Potential payout: $322.1
Potential profit: $291.5
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$8.29

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $272.48
Potential payout: $315
Potential profit: $42.53
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$0.98

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $295.04
Potential payout: $296.97
Potential profit: $1.93
User PnL: $15.84

No position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $42.42
Potential payout: $273.71
Potential profit: $231.28
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$13.53

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $206.78
Potential payout: $244.72
Potential profit: $37.93
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $3.34

No position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $241.77
Potential payout: $244.33
Potential profit: $2.57
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $36.27

No position

US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $240.38
Potential profit: $240.38
User PnL: -$43.09

No position

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $193.2
Potential payout: $240
Potential profit: $46.8
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$2.7

Yes position

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $45.83
Potential payout: $235.01
Potential profit: $189.19
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$6.46

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $185.12
Potential payout: $229.96
Potential profit: $44.84
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$1.71

Yes position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $109.06
Potential payout: $229.6
Potential profit: $120.54
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$4.02

No position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $40.96
Potential payout: $210.03
Potential profit: $169.08
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $189
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $11
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $3.04

No position

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $166.41
Potential payout: $196.93
Potential profit: $30.52
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $3.51

No position

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $158.14
Potential payout: $189.39
Potential profit: $31.25
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$0.53

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 33% 5 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes 17% 15 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Yes 30% 5 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 84% 10 shares
US strike on Cuba by December 31?

No 50% 10 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

No 80% 20 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 64% 5 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Yes 44% 9.36 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 33% 8 shares
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 62% 10 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 60% 10 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 57% 5 shares