No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.4%
- Current value
- $328.91K
- Potential payout
- $414.51K
- Potential profit
- $85.6K
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $19.85K
Polymarket Trader
machbut
0xc2de93c744f3406ff4a67623913d3c6df4116781
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $329.62K
- Realized PnL
- $38.21K
- Win rate
- 52.2%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 23
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.6%
- Current value
- $704.89
- Potential payout
- $4.53K
- Potential profit
- $3.83K
- Multiplier
- 6.43x
- User PnL
- -$52.13
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.2K
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.18K
No position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.7K
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.21K
Yes position
Pump.fun >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.91K
No position
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.49K
No position
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by July 18?
Ends Jul 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23K
Yes position
Will Pump.fun launch a token by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $557.48
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 21?
Ends Dec 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.58
Yes position
Will Curtis Sliwa get less than 10% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.94
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 21?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.38
Yes position
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 12-15%?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.89
No position
No airdrop in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$41.78
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$101
Yes position
No airdrop in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$118.05
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$365.08
Yes position
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$625.48
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$656.85
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.04K
Yes position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.44K
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.25K
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$23.65K
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$26.02K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 85.3% 800 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 85.2% 8,888.12 shares
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 62.2% 26,210.27 shares
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 62.1% 9,064.97 shares
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 62.2% 7,384.21 shares
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 62.3% 1,521.67 shares
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 62.4% 804.39 shares
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 61.8% 272.88 shares
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 62% 6,076.47 shares
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 62.5% 148.96 shares
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 62.4% 5 shares
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 62.2% 0.58 shares