Polymarket Trader

0xC2f0CdC980f8EB806Ba2467C0e0e4B5279277ab9-1780548514799

0xc2f0cdc980f8eb806ba2467c0e0e4b5279277ab9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.75K
Realized PnL: -$380.75
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 10
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $3.63K
Potential payout: $4.01K
Potential profit: $380.56
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $3.03

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $3.5K
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.53K
Potential profit: $1.53K
User PnL: -$4.6

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $1.09K
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $57.29
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$11.46

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $15.07
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $1.02K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$4.93

No position

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $594.26
Potential payout: $663.98
Potential profit: $69.72
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$5.74

Yes position

Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $16
Potential payout: $405.09
Potential profit: $389.09
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$4

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $235.06
Potential payout: $259.74
Potential profit: $24.68
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $35.07

Yes position

Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.8%
Current value: $9.76
Potential payout: $205.54
Potential profit: $195.78
Multiplier: 21.05x
User PnL: -$5.24

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $3.24
Potential payout: $185.19
Potential profit: $181.94
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$1.76

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $7.63
Potential payout: $169.6
Potential profit: $161.97
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$2.37

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $20.77
Potential payout: $153.85
Potential profit: $133.08
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $0.77

No position

US strike on Colombia by December 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $99.56
Potential payout: $128.46
Potential profit: $28.9
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: -$0.44

No position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110.87
Potential profit: $110.87
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Ends Oct 28, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $10.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $89.5
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.4%
Current value: $3.67
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $79.67
Multiplier: 22.73x
User PnL: -$1.33

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $25.2
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $54.8
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: -$14.8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
User PnL: $32.79

No position

Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.42

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $2.1

No position

Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.89

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: $0

No position

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 60%
Multiplier: 1.67x
User PnL: -$5.15

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$12

No position

Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$31.11

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$48.57

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$328.12

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US strike on Colombia by December 31?

No 77.8% 128.46 shares
US strike on Colombia by December 31?

No 75.9% 515.7 shares
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

No 90.4% 663.98 shares
US strike on Colombia by December 31?

No 77.6% 515.7 shares
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Yes 4.9% 405.09 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

No 77% 259.74 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 90% 1,481.62 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Yes 10% 100 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Yes 5.9% 169.6 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 1.5% 666.67 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

No 12.1% 100 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 97.7% 238.26 shares