HysonB

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $77.29
Potential payout: $11.89K
Potential profit: $11.81K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$36.68

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $2.52K
Potential payout: $11.71K
Potential profit: $9.19K
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$1.24K

Yes position

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $45
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.96K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $65.94
Potential payout: $6.28K
Potential profit: $6.21K
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$412.41

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.8%
Current value: $787.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.21K
Multiplier: 6.35x
User PnL: -$19.5

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $3.85K
Potential payout: $4.4K
Potential profit: $550.02
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $592.96

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?

Implied probability: 38.7%
Current value: $1.59K
Potential payout: $4.1K
Potential profit: $2.51K
Multiplier: 2.58x
User PnL: $915.56

Magic position

Magic vs. Pistons

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.8K
Potential profit: $2.8K
User PnL: -$673.1

Suns position

Suns vs. Thunder

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.67K
Potential profit: $2.67K
User PnL: -$295.94

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $66.25
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.43K
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: -$3.75

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $36.55
Potential payout: $1.87K
Potential profit: $1.84K
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$40.15

Yes position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Implied probability: 30%
Current value: $484.12
Potential payout: $1.61K
Potential profit: $1.13K
Multiplier: 3.33x
User PnL: -$46.82

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $1.23K
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $74.11
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $382.85

No position

Will RCD Mallorca vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.09K
Potential profit: $1.09K
User PnL: -$742.84

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $998.41
Potential payout: $999.91
Potential profit: $1.5
User PnL: $621.14

No position

Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $985.14
Potential profit: $985.14
User PnL: -$738.86

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $23.51
Potential payout: $959.67
Potential profit: $936.16
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: $0.59

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $716.59
Potential profit: $716.59
User PnL: -$86.4

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $17.05
Potential payout: $631.6
Potential profit: $614.54
Multiplier: 37.04x
User PnL: -$128.52

No position

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $567.5
Potential payout: $579.97
Potential profit: $12.47
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $127.15

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $521.67
Potential payout: $579.64
Potential profit: $57.96
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $57.98

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 11.1%
Current value: $56.36
Potential payout: $510
Potential profit: $453.65
Multiplier: 9.05x
User PnL: $6.88

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $426.6
Potential profit: $426.6
User PnL: -$81.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.06K

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.34K

76ers position

76ers vs. Celtics

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.75K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.22K

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.42K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $1.23K

Yes position

Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06K

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $853.95

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $814.83

Timberwolves position

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $774.59

Thunder position

Thunder vs. Lakers

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $762.52

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $730.84

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $634.95

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $526.48

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $503

Hawks position

Hawks vs. Knicks

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $487.5

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $308.24

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?