No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Current value
- $21.05K
- Potential payout
- $22.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.45K
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.47K
Polymarket Trader
EDCvfr41qaz
0xc2ff87b109dcb2586f0a51d6fd6b448aa740ce1c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $24.26K
- Realized PnL
- $2.38K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $183
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $17
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.7%
- Current value
- $175.3
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $24.7
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$13.3
No position
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $184
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $16
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $151
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $49
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$25
No position
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $169.9
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $30.1
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
No position
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $171.9
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $28.1
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$4.6
No position
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $175
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $25
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$9
No position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $177
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $23
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$2.6
No position
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.8%
- Current value
- $158.81
- Potential payout
- $199.01
- Potential profit
- $40.2
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- -$27.63
No position
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $182.02
- Potential payout
- $198.92
- Potential profit
- $16.91
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$1.99
No position
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Current value
- $188.08
- Potential payout
- $194
- Potential profit
- $5.92
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$3.78
No position
Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.7%
- Current value
- $175.94
- Potential payout
- $189.89
- Potential profit
- $13.96
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$1.04
No position
Will the Democratic Republic of Congo win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Current value
- $152.48
- Potential payout
- $160.84
- Potential profit
- $8.36
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $2.09
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $99.5
- Potential payout
- $100.61
- Potential profit
- $1.11
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?
Ends Dec 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $98.77
- Potential payout
- $100.02
- Potential profit
- $1.25
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
No position
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $95.47
- Potential payout
- $100.02
- Potential profit
- $4.55
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$1.75
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $97.66
- Potential payout
- $100.01
- Potential profit
- $2.35
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $98.86
- Potential payout
- $100.01
- Potential profit
- $1.15
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $98.66
- Potential payout
- $100.01
- Potential profit
- $1.35
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $98.56
- Potential payout
- $100.01
- Potential profit
- $1.45
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $97.66
- Potential payout
- $100.01
- Potential profit
- $2.35
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
No position
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $96.66
- Potential payout
- $100.01
- Potential profit
- $3.35
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
No position
Will Aurora win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.3%
- Current value
- $88.26
- Potential payout
- $100.01
- Potential profit
- $11.75
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$10.45
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.75K
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.28
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $36.41
No position
Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.37
No position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.79
No position
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.79
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $31.13
No position
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.83
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $28
No position
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.36
No position
Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.81
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $24.71
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.36
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.51
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.1
No position
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.09
No position
Brown University shooter arrested by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.56
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.09
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $21.99
No position
Over $5M committed to the Makina public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.82
No position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $20.33
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
No position
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.82
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series?No 99% 7.55 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?No 96.2% 100 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No 96% 99 shares
- Will Tommy Paul be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?No 99% 100 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?No 96.2% 21.05 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?No 96.2% 78.95 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?No 96.1% 100 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No 96.3% 49 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No 96.2% 51 shares
- Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?No 98.1% 47.23 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No 96% 11.16 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No 96% 35.72 shares