No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.75K
- Potential profit
- $19.75K
- User PnL
- -$7.39K
Polymarket Trader
onthewave
0xc302b58614dcae99a2cab713534fdef0490ef388
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.63K
- Realized PnL
- $21.45K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $607.92
- Potential payout
- $4.68K
- Potential profit
- $4.07K
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$392.08
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.7K
- Potential profit
- $3.7K
- User PnL
- -$1.02K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $2.75K
- Potential payout
- $2.8K
- Potential profit
- $54.69
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $128.69
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.6%
- Current value
- $1.03K
- Potential payout
- $1.14K
- Potential profit
- $106.82
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $29.55
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $601.64
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $502.29
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$394.57
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $1.04K
- Potential payout
- $1.08K
- Potential profit
- $33.87
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $41.4
No position
Kash Patel out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $534.04
- Potential payout
- $559.2
- Potential profit
- $25.16
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $8.39
Yes position
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $303.03
- Potential profit
- $303.03
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 55%
- Current value
- $42.77
- Potential payout
- $77.77
- Potential profit
- $35
- Multiplier
- 1.82x
- User PnL
- $7.78
No position
Will the Powerball jackpot hit $1 billion by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77%
- Current value
- $21.31
- Potential payout
- $27.67
- Potential profit
- $6.36
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- -$3.51
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.7K
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $2600 in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.15K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.93K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76K
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $2400 in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.71K
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $3000 in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.71K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.59K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $880.22
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $559.16
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $545.16
No position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $387.76
Yes position
Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $376.19
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $283.06
No position
Will the government shutdown end November 12?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $255.5
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $226.67
No position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $209.17
No position
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $195.51
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $177.78
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $172.02
No position
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.47
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $148.97
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.63
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.08
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.56
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 1% 5,584.85 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 0.7% 2,056.06 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 1% 5,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 11.9% 1,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 61% 1,642.26 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No 95.4% 1,050 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 80.7% 2,352.63 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?No 27.8% 739.36 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?No 38% 675.67 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 34.5% 4,164.38 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 80.7% 2,502.28 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 97.1% 1,563.82 shares