Yes position
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $89.76
- Potential payout
- $408
- Potential profit
- $318.24
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- -$89.76
Polymarket Trader
zhongdian
0xc31978500c02b2f98159c2aec53bc6baf5b36baa
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $443.32
- Realized PnL
- $2.31K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $350.13
- Potential payout
- $356
- Potential profit
- $5.87
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $72.45
Yes position
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $3.43
- Potential payout
- $208
- Potential profit
- $204.57
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$34.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Albin Kurti be the next Prime Minister of Kosovo?
Ends Dec 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $330.26
Over position
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $327.81
Yes position
Will "Concussion" be said at the Super Bowl?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $246.58
Yes position
Oscars Bingo
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $202.4
Yes position
Will there be at least 1500 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $157.92
No position
Will Khamenei tweet every day through March 27?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $144.86
Yes position
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $130.56
No position
Up Only podcast released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.87
No position
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.3
Yes position
Will Israel strike 2 countries in March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $96
Yes position
Will prjx launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 16%
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- $88.02
Yes position
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2025-12-06?
Ends Dec 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.04
Yes position
Will Benicio del Toro win Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $55.98
Yes position
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-01-04?
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.5
No position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 28 be between 2,000,000 and 2,100,000?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.24
No position
Will Eva Victor - Sorry, Baby win Best First-Time Director of a Theatrical Feature Film at the 78th DGA Awards?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.75
Yes position
Will Bitcoin be the top performing crypto for the week of March 9?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $22.68
No position
SHEIN IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $20.07
No position
Will xAI or X run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.13
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "Antifa" in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.52
Yes position
Will Eva Victor - Sorry, Baby win Best First-Time Director of a Theatrical Feature Film at the 78th DGA Awards?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.24
No position
Nancy Guthrie kidnapper arrested by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.76
Yes position
Will Trump say "Obama" during the State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.36
Yes position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 27 be between 2,600,000 and 2,800,000?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.7
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No 74% 632 shares
- Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No 74% 640 shares
- Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No 74% 189 shares
- Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No 80% 1,461 shares
- Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No 79% 360 shares
- Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No 88% 360 shares
- Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?No 26% 575 shares
- Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?No 78% 356 shares
- Will "Prowler" be said during the Valorant Masters Grand Finals?No 17% 1,314 shares
- Will Khamenei tweet every day through March 27?No 46% 515 shares
- Will Khamenei tweet every day through March 27?No 66% 1,244 shares
- Will Powell say "Refund" during March press conference?No 84% 163 shares