Polymarket Trader

dave12345

0xc3200394fe335b646d329564c8af614408ca7637

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.54K
Realized PnL: $6.72K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $1.68K
Potential payout: $2.87K
Potential profit: $1.19K
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $585.98

No position

Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 81%
Current value: $1.05K
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $246.61
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $181.55

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $754.88
Potential profit: $754.88
User PnL: -$281

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$96

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $208.31
Potential payout: $490.14
Potential profit: $281.83
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$2.31

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $479.97
Potential profit: $479.97
User PnL: -$90.07

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $404.85
Potential profit: $404.85
User PnL: -$80.97

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81.4%
Current value: $325.4
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $74.6
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $37.3

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$94

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $350
User PnL: -$46.5

Down position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$18

No position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $165
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $35
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $9

Up position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$42

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$74

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$14

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$31.25

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.9%
Current value: $110.95
Potential payout: $114.5
Potential profit: $3.55
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $71.15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02K

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $705.75

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $462.54

Yes position

S&P 500 all time high by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $369.1

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $313.82

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $282.72

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Keir Starmer in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $273.08

No position

Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $268.42

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $263.92

No position

Will VIX close above 50 by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $240.53

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 19, 2026?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $216.11

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $204

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 17?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $201.27

Down position

NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on February 26?

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $194.88

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 16?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $191.99

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 5?

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $184.4

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 10?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $174.26

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $173.85

Down position

Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on February 19?

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $171

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 12?

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $165.68

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $164.88

Up position

Gold (GC) Up or Down on January 27?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $164

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 2?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $154.99

No position

Russia announces air truce by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $154.49

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Yes 56% 200 shares
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Yes 42% 490.12 shares
Fed rate hike in 2026?

Yes 55% 200 shares
Fed rate hike in 2026?

Yes 59% 102 shares
Fed rate hike in 2026?

Yes 31% 200 shares
Fed rate hike in 2026?

Yes 31% 200 shares
Fed rate hike in 2026?

Yes 34% 224.28 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 76% 10 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 8?

Down 12.6% 80 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 8?

Down 29% 25.61 shares
Fed rate hike in 2026?

Yes 51% 72 shares
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 5?

Up 21% 15.61 shares