Polymarket Trader

freaky67

0xc3245b0933d3a90dc3735068690c91728a3b3048

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $212.19
Realized PnL: $33.62
Win rate: 83.3%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 18
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $324.63
Potential profit: $324.63
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 17.4%
Current value: $30.07
Potential payout: $172.41
Potential profit: $142.34
Multiplier: 5.73x
User PnL: $20.07

No position

Will Taylor Swift have a #1 hit in the US in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $122.57
Potential profit: $122.57
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $65.34
Potential payout: $81.16
Potential profit: $15.83
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $10.99

No position

Will Olivia Rodrigo have a #1 hit in the US in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.28
Potential profit: $55.28
User PnL: -$11

No position

Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $45.45
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $0.73
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $44.73
Multiplier: 62.50x
User PnL: -$0.27

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $33
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $7
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $39.02
Potential payout: $39.37
Potential profit: $0.35
User PnL: $5.12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.33
Potential profit: $37.33
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 23, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $1.82
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $33.9
Multiplier: 19.65x
User PnL: -$3.18

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.1%
Current value: $22.69
Potential payout: $29.07
Potential profit: $6.38
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $2.69

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $15.36
Potential payout: $21.79
Potential profit: $6.43
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $0.36

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.44
Potential profit: $13.44
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $2.85
Potential payout: $12.42
Potential profit: $9.57
Multiplier: 4.36x
User PnL: $0.85

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.2%
Current value: $1.33
Potential payout: $11.9
Potential profit: $10.58
Multiplier: 8.97x
User PnL: -$0.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $6.67
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $6.67
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.33
Potential profit: $6.33
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.08
Potential profit: $4.08
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.85
Potential profit: $3.85
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.85
Potential profit: $3.85
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.7
Potential profit: $3.7
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.61

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $4.15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.91

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.09

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.55

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.48

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.96

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: $0.9

No position

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 74%
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Multiplier: 25.97x
User PnL: -$0.48

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.65

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Yes 90% 40 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Yes 2.2% 45.45 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Yes 6.1% 25 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 91% 15.27 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

Down 47% 4.26 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

Down 89% 13.04 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

Down 46% 13.04 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

Down 52% 3.85 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

Down 27% 3.7 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET

Up 14% 16.66 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET

Up 3% 33.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET

Down 79% 3.22 shares