Polymarket Trader

emtf

0xc327160887453b4e7e2e6c0964c854055c79d803

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $450.36
Realized PnL: $2.14K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.77
Potential payout: $515.67
Potential profit: $514.9
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$2.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $389.71
Potential profit: $389.71
User PnL: -$7.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $244.96
Potential profit: $244.96
User PnL: -$12.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 14.4%
Current value: $33
Potential payout: $229.98
Potential profit: $196.98
Multiplier: 6.97x
User PnL: $25.5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C or higher on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $210.02
Potential payout: $215.41
Potential profit: $5.39
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $10.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $201.75
Potential profit: $201.75
User PnL: -$4.72

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $33
Potential payout: $200.01
Potential profit: $167.01
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $30.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$17.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 8.9%
Current value: $16.6
Potential payout: $187.59
Potential profit: $170.99
Multiplier: 11.30x
User PnL: $8.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $121.35
Potential profit: $121.35
User PnL: -$77.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $21.84
Potential payout: $104
Potential profit: $82.16
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: $0.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C or below on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102.67
Potential profit: $102.67
User PnL: -$17.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.84
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $95.01
Potential profit: $95.01
User PnL: -$9.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 14.2%
Current value: $12.27
Potential payout: $86.14
Potential profit: $73.87
Multiplier: 7.02x
User PnL: $4.51

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $30.3
Potential payout: $83
Potential profit: $52.71
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $11.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $30.3
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $29.7
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: $24.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $15.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $34.25
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $4.25

No position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 61.8%
Current value: $30.9
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $19.1
Multiplier: 1.62x
User PnL: $19.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $0.68
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $39.32
Multiplier: 58.82x
User PnL: -$4.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 22.1%
Current value: $8.62
Potential payout: $39.02
Potential profit: $30.4
Multiplier: 4.52x
User PnL: $0.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 20%
Current value: $6
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $24
Multiplier: 5.00x
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $1.85
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$0.37

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $408.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on March 27?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $331.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $139.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.71

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.46

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.28

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $62.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $60.71

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.29

No position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $53.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $51.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $51.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 20?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.89

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.24

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.54

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 21?

Yes 24% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 21?

Yes 3% 40.15 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 21?

Yes 21% 19.47 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 21?

Yes 21% 19.46 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 21?

Yes 5% 40.15 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on June 21?

Yes 1% 139.99 shares
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on June 22?

Yes 20.9% 26.38 shares
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on June 22?

Yes 20.9% 12.64 shares
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on June 22?

Yes 9% 86.14 shares
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 21?

Yes 1.6% 40 shares
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 21?

Yes 1.6% 55.27 shares
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 21?

Yes 24% 33 shares