Yes position
Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $5.01
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $997.02
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$67.6
Polymarket Trader
0xc327CcdEAbf1BdBd98722C4C2A360F2C3FDC31f5-1742139313586
0xc327ccdeabf1bdbd98722c4c2a360f2c3fdc31f5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.37K
- Realized PnL
- $3.21K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $700
- User PnL
- -$4.2
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.7%
- Current value
- $70.87
- Potential payout
- $380
- Potential profit
- $309.13
- Multiplier
- 5.36x
- User PnL
- $6.71
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $61.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $238.5
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- $22.5
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.8%
- Current value
- $22.62
- Potential payout
- $290
- Potential profit
- $267.38
- Multiplier
- 12.82x
- User PnL
- -$18.61
No position
Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $191.11
- Potential payout
- $249.81
- Potential profit
- $58.71
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $113.56
No position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $37
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $163
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$19
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Current value
- $11.7
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $188.3
- Multiplier
- 17.09x
- User PnL
- -$14.3
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $105.5
- Potential payout
- $171.55
- Potential profit
- $66.05
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- -$14.52
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $64.8
- Potential payout
- $160
- Potential profit
- $95.2
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$31.2
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $141.6
- Potential payout
- $159.99
- Potential profit
- $18.4
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $38.2
Yes position
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $16.5
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $133.5
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$25.5
No position
Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $119.71
- Potential payout
- $148.71
- Potential profit
- $29
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $92.13
Yes position
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $6.00 and $7.00 on June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $7.28
- Potential payout
- $145.6
- Potential profit
- $138.32
- Multiplier
- 20.00x
- User PnL
- -$6.55
No position
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $57.85
- Potential payout
- $130
- Potential profit
- $72.15
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$13.65
Yes position
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $19.88
- Potential payout
- $116.96
- Potential profit
- $97.08
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- $7.13
No position
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $83.05
- Potential payout
- $116.16
- Potential profit
- $33.11
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $8.77
Yes position
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.30 on June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.9%
- Current value
- $7.59
- Potential payout
- $109.98
- Potential profit
- $102.39
- Multiplier
- 14.49x
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $88.34
- Potential payout
- $101.54
- Potential profit
- $13.2
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $36.31
Yes position
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $22.45
- Potential payout
- $99.8
- Potential profit
- $77.34
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$13.47
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $55.58
- Potential payout
- $95.01
- Potential profit
- $39.43
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $37.28
No position
Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $10B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $47.24
- Potential payout
- $80.75
- Potential profit
- $33.51
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$3.04
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $75.48
- Potential payout
- $80.29
- Potential profit
- $4.82
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $8.83
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 67%
- Current value
- $53.6
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $26.4
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- $8
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $424.37
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 43%
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- $351.8
No position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $186.1
No position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $176.85
Yes position
Prince Andrew released by February 19?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.42
No position
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- $140.75
No position
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.55
No position
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $124.22
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $124.2
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.26
No position
Will gas hit (High) $4.70 by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.5
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.6
No position
Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.03
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.7
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.52
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99
No position
Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $95.97
No position
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.11
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.99
No position
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.6
No position
Will Israel strike Iraq by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.78
No position
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.05
No position
Weed rescheduled by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $74.4
No position
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?No 8.2% 220 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Yes 3.3% 300 shares
- Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 21% 220.01 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 16.2% 99.87 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 16.2% 99.87 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?No 83% 5 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 14.7% 19.79 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 21% 0.62 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 21% 100 shares
- Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?Yes 27.4% 46.1 shares
- Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June?Yes 39.5% 87.5 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?No 2.3% 400 shares