Yes position
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $12.6
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $387.4
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- $7.4
Polymarket Trader
amarraco
@rdcalle
0xc329e0c3e01ff7df41f21e589d38641305e66a58
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $139.81
- Realized PnL
- $655.93
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $35
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $165
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $9
NRG Academy position
Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$91
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1.7
Yes position
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Marcos Giron position
Roland Garros ATP: Yibing Wu vs Marcos Giron
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$19
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $81
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $19
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $38
No position
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$67
Y
Yes position
Will Enrique Riquelme win the 2026 Real Madrid presidential election?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$6.6
Ignite position
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Ignite (BO5) - Esports World Cup North America Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $70
- User PnL
- -$0.63
No position
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$28.5
Team Evictix position
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs Team Evictix (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$11.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$36
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$45
Flavio Cobolli position
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.99
- Potential profit
- $49.99
- User PnL
- -$8.5
Yes position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.99
- Potential profit
- $49.99
- User PnL
- -$17
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$29.6
Yes position
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28%
- Current value
- $11.2
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $28.8
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- -$3.8
Yes position
Will Reppo launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$11.6
Yes position
Will Reppo launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$16.2
No position
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$21.93
Leviatán Academy position
Valorant: Leviatán Academy vs BESTIA (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: Regular Season
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.99
- Potential profit
- $39.99
- User PnL
- -$1.22
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $35
- User PnL
- -$5.95
Yes position
Will Noble launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $24.99
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.49
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.82
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $87.2
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.8
No position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.24
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.3
No position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.8
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Spurs
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35
No position
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $24.06
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.5
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $19.4
SwimTrek Blue position
Valorant: SwimTrek Blue vs Shopify Rebellion Gold (BO5) - VCT Game Changers North America Playoffs
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.5
Solary position
LoL: Solary vs Galions (BO5) - LFL Playoffs
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.2
Something position
Nothing Ever Happens: May
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 6?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
GIANTX position
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.7
Martin Landaluce position
Roland Garros ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Juan Carlos Prado
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.62
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $8.15
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $7.05
ex-RUBY position
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.8
Rajasthan Royals position
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.4
Yes position
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-06?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.3
Over position
Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsYes 53% 10 shares
- France vs. Sweden: France O/U 2.5Over 34% 10 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Elon Musk by June 30, 2026?Yes 0.6% 20 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No 71% 5 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by June 30, 2026?Yes 0.7% 20 shares
- Will City Protocol launch a token by June 30, 2026?Yes 0.6% 20 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 78.1% 10 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 82.4% 10 shares
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 1.5Over 58% 10 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?Yes 72% 10 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes 0.2% 111 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes 38% 10 shares