No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $95.14
- Potential payout
- $95.38
- Potential profit
- $0.24
- User PnL
- $0.14
Polymarket Trader
z584
0xc3312548f1d093879c9525986c32f9132712b629
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $240.96
- Realized PnL
- $12.58
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $45.15
- Potential payout
- $45.15
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $40.49
- Potential payout
- $40.49
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Will Donald Trump enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $40.04
- Potential payout
- $40.04
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $20.13
- Potential payout
- $20.33
- Potential profit
- $0.19
- User PnL
- $0.13
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.78
No position
Farcaster airdrop in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51
Yes position
Will $cult launch in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
No position
Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.77
Yes position
US inauguration on January 20?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
Base airdrop in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
Will Circle IPO in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
Yes position
Solana above $170 on November 8?
Ends Nov 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
Yes position
Zircuit airdrop in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
Yes position
Bitcoin above $70,000 on November 8?
Ends Nov 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
Yes position
Ethereum above $2,500 on November 8?
Ends Nov 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
US government Bitcoin reserves in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Next Ethereum hard fork live by end of 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will Milady flip BAYC in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Zama FDV above $4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Tether Insolvent in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will Malta win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
OpenSea blocks US users in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Ripple above $2.40 on January 17?
Ends Jan 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will gas hit (Low) $3.00 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Roaring Kitty jail in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 99.6% 95.38 shares
- Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No 98.4% 20.33 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?No 99.7% 45.15 shares
- Will Donald Trump enter Iran by June 30?No 99.9% 40.04 shares
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 98.8% 40.49 shares
- Will gas hit (Low) $3.00 by March 31?No 98.9% 12.14 shares
- Will Sergey Brin be 2nd richest person on March 31?No 99.5% 10.05 shares
- Will Mark Zuckerberg be 2nd richest person on March 31?No 99.9% 20.02 shares
- Will Croatia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No 99.4% 20.12 shares
- Will Australia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No 99.4% 20.12 shares
- Will Montenegro win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No 99.4% 20.12 shares
- Will Malta win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No 99.2% 20.16 shares