No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19K
- Potential profit
- $19K
- User PnL
- -$38
Polymarket Trader
0xC3335AED1fFAFe0D413CBb08424a7086a212543e-1771076880804
0xc3335aed1ffafe0d413cbb08424a7086a212543e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $641.64
- Realized PnL
- $2.73K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5K
- Potential profit
- $12.5K
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.37K
- Potential profit
- $7.37K
- User PnL
- -$29.99
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.58K
- Potential profit
- $2.58K
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.35K
- Potential profit
- $2.35K
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.9%
- Current value
- $307.49
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $837.73
- Multiplier
- 3.72x
- User PnL
- $241.72
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.2%
- Current value
- $325.11
- Potential payout
- $899.34
- Potential profit
- $574.23
- Multiplier
- 2.77x
- User PnL
- $262.11
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $714.29
- Potential profit
- $714.29
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $416.67
- Potential profit
- $416.67
- User PnL
- -$10
Novak Djokovic position
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.22
- Potential profit
- $333.22
- User PnL
- -$140.01
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $332.4
- Potential profit
- $332.4
- User PnL
- -$55
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $325
- Potential profit
- $325
- User PnL
- -$34
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $243.59
- Potential profit
- $243.59
- User PnL
- -$20
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $242.82
- Potential profit
- $242.82
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $235.8
- Potential profit
- $235.8
- User PnL
- -$29
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $209.59
- Potential profit
- $209.59
- User PnL
- -$70
Yes position
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $50B and $60B at market close on IPO day?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $199.85
- Potential profit
- $199.85
- User PnL
- -$60
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $198.33
- Potential profit
- $198.33
- User PnL
- -$40
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $195.55
- Potential profit
- $195.55
- User PnL
- -$35
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.2%
- Current value
- $4.28
- Potential payout
- $194.46
- Potential profit
- $190.19
- Multiplier
- 45.45x
- User PnL
- -$20.72
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $189.48
- Potential profit
- $189.48
- User PnL
- -$98.53
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $4.76
- Potential payout
- $187.35
- Potential profit
- $182.59
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- -$15.24
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $181.5
Sean Strickland position
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $165.26
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.12
Yes position
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.94
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.78
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.77
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.93
Yes position
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $60B and $70B at market close on IPO day?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.63
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $54
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.17
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.98
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.95
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.31
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.28
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.23
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.71
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.56
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $29.86
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $28.66
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.65
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.45
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 18.6% 96.64 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 1.2% 1,652.82 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?Yes 52% 189.48 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.2% 9,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 0.2% 7,500 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.2% 7,500 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 0.2% 5,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.2% 2,500 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 9.9% 202.34 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.3% 1,666.67 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 4.3% 581.4 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 2.4% 1,100 shares