Polymarket Trader

penguinec

0xc33d6aa3eb972639f31e46a6a02201cece380d40

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.92K
Realized PnL: $30.26K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.57K
Potential profit: $15.57K
User PnL: -$5.96K

No position

Will Warsh say "Trump" during June Press Conference?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $3.13K
Potential payout: $3.17K
Potential profit: $42.78
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $600.77

No position

Will "Nemesis" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.48K
Potential profit: $2.48K
User PnL: -$341.14

Yes position

Will FC Nantes win on 2026-05-17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.1K
Potential profit: $2.1K
User PnL: -$69.82

No position

Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $2.06K
Potential payout: $2.07K
Potential profit: $6.2
User PnL: $1.23K

No position

Will China PR vs. Thailand end in a draw?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.06K
Potential profit: $2.06K
User PnL: -$1.38K

No position

Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $1.13K
User PnL: -$826.3

No position

Will Kyrgyz Republic vs. Kenya end in a draw?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $1.03K
User PnL: -$69.08

Yes position

Will Kyrgyz Republic win on 2026-06-03?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.02K
User PnL: -$36.07

No position

Will "The Witness" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $918.7
Potential profit: $918.7
User PnL: -$89.05

No position

Will CD Garcilaso win on 2026-05-11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $894.44
Potential profit: $894.44
User PnL: -$223.15

No position

Will no one dissent the June Fed decision?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $3.95
Potential payout: $789.07
Potential profit: $785.12
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$237.68

Yes position

Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-03-06?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $724.96
Potential profit: $724.96
User PnL: -$220.83

No position

Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-05-13?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $707.84
Potential profit: $707.84
User PnL: -$316.08

No position

Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $703.92
Potential profit: $703.92
User PnL: -$527.98

No position

Will Hungary win on 2026-06-09?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $669.68
Potential profit: $669.68
User PnL: -$336.06

Yes position

Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $636.57
Potential profit: $636.57
User PnL: -$22.52

Yes position

Will "Office Romance" be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $555.73
Potential profit: $555.73
User PnL: -$98.06

Yes position

Will four or more people dissent the June Fed decision?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $554.62
Potential profit: $554.62
User PnL: -$10.66

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $12.48
Potential payout: $520
Potential profit: $507.52
Multiplier: 41.67x
User PnL: $8.84

No position

Will Ethiopia win on 2026-06-06?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $483.49
Potential profit: $483.49
User PnL: -$66.1

No position

Will Morocco be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $285.39
Potential payout: $479.64
Potential profit: $194.25
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: -$20.56

No position

Will Senegal be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $421.76
Potential payout: $471.25
Potential profit: $49.48
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $49.42

Yes position

Will Czechia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $5.64
Potential payout: $469.64
Potential profit: $464
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: -$5.85

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Fenerbahce position

Fenerbahce vs. Anadolu Efes

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.43K

BCM Gravelines Dunkerque position

Paris Basketball vs. BCM Gravelines Dunkerque

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.93K

Over position

Connecticut Sun vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 161.5

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63K

Mumbai Indians position

Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Kolkata Knight Riders

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58K

Under position

Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.57K

Rio Noguchi position

Jiujiang: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Rio Noguchi

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.52K

Jan Choinski position

Zagreb: Jan Choinski vs Arthur Fery

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.34K

Fnatic position

Valorant: Fnatic vs ULF Esports - Map 1 Winner

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24K

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Trail Blazers

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23K

Thunder position

1H Spread: Thunder (-6.5)

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.21K

Over position

Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13K

Golden State Valkyries position

Indiana Fever vs. Golden State Valkyries

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11K

India position

T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs India

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07K

Fnatic position

Valorant: Fnatic vs ULF Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02K

Raptors position

Cavaliers vs. Raptors

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01K

Celtics position

Celtics vs. 76ers

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $992

PortlandFire position

Connecticut Sun vs. PortlandFire

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $965.08

Federico Bondioli position

Parma: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Federico Bondioli

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $939.57

Division One position

Valorant: Division One vs Dynamo Esports (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $932.26

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $924.37

Timberwolves position

Timberwolves vs. Spurs

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $912.09

Nuggets position

Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $894.65

Varvara Panshina position

ITF Wuning: Varvara Panshina vs Kira Pavlova

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $837.28

AEK position

AEK vs. Joventut

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $836.08

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Warsh say "Trump" during June Press Conference?

Yes 1% 41 shares
Will Warsh say "Trump" during June Press Conference?

Yes 8% 18 shares
Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?

Yes 2% 0.18 shares
Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?

No 94% 20.74 shares
Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?

No 50% 80 shares
Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?

No 40% 1 shares
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves

Atlanta Braves 34% 5 shares
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves

Atlanta Braves 35% 9 shares
Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?

No 29% 5.52 shares
Will Warsh say "Jerome" or "Powell" during June Press Conference?

Yes 53% 38 shares
Will Warsh say "Jerome" or "Powell" during June Press Conference?

Yes 52% 61 shares
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Yes 21% 40 shares