No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
0xc341702fE1989B05d3317Aacf0eD4021067C9A9F-1770815185511
0xc341702fe1989b05d3317aacf0ed4021067c9a9f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.28K
- Realized PnL
- $7.22K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 23
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $831.61
- Potential profit
- $831.61
- User PnL
- -$465
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $551.2
- Potential payout
- $602.41
- Potential profit
- $51.2
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $51.21
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.1%
- Current value
- $522.54
- Potential payout
- $593.46
- Potential profit
- $70.92
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $17.54
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $272.84
- Potential payout
- $429.67
- Potential profit
- $156.83
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- -$32.94
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.6%
- Current value
- $266.41
- Potential payout
- $330.54
- Potential profit
- $64.12
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $16.41
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $236.37
- Potential profit
- $236.37
- User PnL
- -$115
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $230.46
- Potential payout
- $231.97
- Potential profit
- $1.51
- User PnL
- $30.46
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $122.81
- Potential payout
- $199.69
- Potential profit
- $76.88
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $22.81
No position
Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 68%
- Current value
- $132.21
- Potential payout
- $194.58
- Potential profit
- $62.36
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- -$27.79
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $2.18
- Potential payout
- $161.44
- Potential profit
- $159.26
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$62.82
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $6.63
- Potential payout
- $154.54
- Potential profit
- $147.91
- Multiplier
- 23.31x
- User PnL
- -$93.37
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.2%
- Current value
- $47.35
- Potential payout
- $152
- Potential profit
- $104.65
- Multiplier
- 3.21x
- User PnL
- -$2.65
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $6.1
- Potential payout
- $148.81
- Potential profit
- $142.7
- Multiplier
- 24.39x
- User PnL
- -$23.9
No position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $36.62
- Potential payout
- $140.85
- Potential profit
- $104.23
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- -$13.38
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $59.65
- Potential payout
- $140.35
- Potential profit
- $80.7
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$20.35
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $107.14
- Potential profit
- $107.14
- User PnL
- -$45
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $2.02
- Potential payout
- $103.44
- Potential profit
- $101.42
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- -$22.98
Ilia Topuria position
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $93.83
- Potential profit
- $93.83
- User PnL
- -$76
No position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $92.38
- Potential profit
- $92.38
- User PnL
- -$80
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $64.94
- Potential profit
- $64.94
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.6%
- Current value
- $22.36
- Potential payout
- $44.16
- Potential profit
- $21.8
- Multiplier
- 1.97x
- User PnL
- -$7.64
Yes position
Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.85
- Potential profit
- $29.85
- User PnL
- -$20
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.59K
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $630.03
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $579.27
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $573.45
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $456.54
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $449.85
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $311.86
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $267.84
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $225.54
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $205
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $178.43
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $177.78
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $176.23
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $157.99
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $146.19
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.82
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.14
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.35
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.69
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.63
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.7
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.82
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.81
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.57
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?No 88.1% 62.43 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?No 65% 46.15 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 32.9% 151.99 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 32.7% 278.92 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?No 59% 33.9 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 83% 240.96 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?No 80.9% 247.17 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?No 49% 102.04 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?Yes 50.6% 49.41 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?Yes 51.2% 48.79 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?Yes 49.3% 101.49 shares
- Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?No 83.8% 71.58 shares