314159265358979323846

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $11.19
Potential payout: $11.43
Potential profit: $0.23
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $3.19

9z position

Counter-Strike: 9z vs EYEBALLERS (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $8.06
Potential payout: $11.43
Potential profit: $3.37
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $10.06
Potential payout: $11.43
Potential profit: $1.37
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $2.06

No position

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $10.11
Potential payout: $11.43
Potential profit: $1.31
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $2.11

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 1?

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $8.83
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $2.28
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $0.83

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $7.83
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $3.28
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: -$0.17

BetBoom Team position

Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Sinners (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $7.29
Potential payout: $10.96
Potential profit: $3.67
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: -$0.71

No position

Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $9.45
Potential payout: $10.39
Potential profit: $0.94
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $1.45

No position

Iran successfully targets shipping on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $10.12
Potential payout: $10.26
Potential profit: $0.13
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $2.12

No position

Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $5.22
Potential payout: $6.41
Potential profit: $1.19
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $0.22

Resolved Context

Closed positions

MIBR Academy position

Counter-Strike: Isurus vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #1 Group A

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.43

No position

Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.43

MOUZ position

Dota 2: MOUZ vs Inner Circle (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.43

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 26?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.43

Down position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 26?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.43

ONSIDE GAMING position

Valorant: ONSIDE GAMING vs T1 Academy (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Season

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.43

shimmer position

Counter-Strike: Atrix Esports vs shimmer (BO3) - Rainhas do Clutch FERJEE Playoffs

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.43

MIBR Academy position

Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Isurus (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #1 Group A

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.43

Keyd position

Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #1 Group B

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.43

No position

Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in June?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.43

Betclic Apogee Esports position

Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs Betclic Apogee Esports - Map 1 Winner

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.43

Spirit position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.34

4 Anchors and Ilmeria position

Dota 2: 4 Anchors and Ilmeria vs the bug (BO3) - The International North America Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.27

Yes position

Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.27

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 26?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.27

9INE position

Counter-Strike: 9INE vs GamerLegion (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group A

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.27

Paper Rex position

Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.25

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.11

HULIGANI position

Dota 2: Enjoy vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.96

Team Spirit position

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.96

Yes position

Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.9

Over position

O/U 1.5 Rounds

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.81

Brazil position

Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.81

Acend position

Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Acend (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group A