No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.6%
- Current value
- $101.98
- Potential payout
- $144.44
- Potential profit
- $42.47
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- -$25.13
Polymarket Trader
AlbertEpstein.ru
0xc34e0e5b094ccec7529534c254a16296de74bb55
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $143.15
- Realized PnL
- $332.02
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $8.7
- Potential payout
- $37
- Potential profit
- $28.31
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- $3.72
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.03
- Potential profit
- $27.03
- User PnL
- -$13.09
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27
- Potential profit
- $27
- User PnL
- -$2.43
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27
- Potential profit
- $27
- User PnL
- -$1.89
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27
- Potential profit
- $27
- User PnL
- -$2.43
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27
- Potential profit
- $27
- User PnL
- -$3.24
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,400 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.02
- Potential profit
- $25.02
- User PnL
- -$10.03
Yes position
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $3.69
- Potential payout
- $23.81
- Potential profit
- $20.12
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$6.31
Yes position
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $2.54
- Potential payout
- $23.08
- Potential profit
- $20.54
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$10.25
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.3%
- Current value
- $6.36
- Potential payout
- $22.43
- Potential profit
- $16.08
- Multiplier
- 3.53x
- User PnL
- -$1.77
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $8.24
- Potential payout
- $21.98
- Potential profit
- $13.74
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- -$11.76
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.27
- Potential profit
- $21.27
- User PnL
- -$3.19
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.25
- Potential profit
- $21.25
- User PnL
- -$3.4
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.25
- Potential profit
- $20.25
- User PnL
- -$0.53
Yes position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 18, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.2
- Potential profit
- $19.2
- User PnL
- -$1.92
Yes position
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.51
- Potential profit
- $18.51
- User PnL
- -$9.81
No position
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 2-8?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.13
- Potential profit
- $16.13
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.05
- Potential profit
- $15.05
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $9.21
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $5.07
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- -$0.79
Yes position
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $13
- User PnL
- -$3.51
No position
Will Michael Olise score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $2.44
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $10.06
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $0.44
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.01
No position
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.66
No position
Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.6
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.78
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.88
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.78
No position
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15
Yes position
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.99
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.04
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.72
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.1
No position
Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.05
No position
DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.04
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.59
Yes position
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.12
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.04
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.58
No position
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.52
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on April 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.51
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.5
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.42
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.4
Yes position
Will the Patriots win the AFC Championship?
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.33
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?Yes 53% 9.11 shares
- Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?Yes 15% 21.3 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 88% 144.44 shares
- Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?Yes 42% 21.31 shares
- Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 184m?Yes 14% 20 shares
- Will Robert Kenyon finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes 93% 106.69 shares
- Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?Yes 53% 18.51 shares
- Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?Yes 57% 13.96 shares
- Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 184m?Yes 18% 27.61 shares
- Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No 77% 12.99 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 15?No 96% 2.08 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 15?No 96% 2.08 shares