No position
Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.1%
- Current value
- $607.01
- Potential payout
- $652
- Potential profit
- $44.99
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$22.17
Polymarket Trader
Arabelaert
0xc355d97f884160715e97104e4d548a86a7b5137e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $607.01
- Realized PnL
- $10.3
- Win rate
- 37.5%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $16.51
No position
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99
No position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 85.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 85.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$1.37
No position
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$8.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 96.5% 652 shares
- Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 89.4% 550 shares
- Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No 70% 555 shares
- Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No 71.5% 555 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 78.9% 688 shares
- Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?No 86.5% 510 shares
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?No 63.5% 491 shares
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?No 63.5% 491 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 92% 258 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 92% 231 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 91.9% 489 shares
- Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?No 88.4% 598 shares