Polymarket Trader

Jok3

0xc35acce8a61b1031cd80471e04d33cc40d30b9f2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $532.19
Realized PnL: $7.43K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $82
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $318
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$118

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $318
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $82
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $118

No position

Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $41.76
Potential payout: $42.21
Potential profit: $0.44
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $4.22

No position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $36.2
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $3.8
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $3.8

No position

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Ends Nov 19, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $35.8
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $4.2
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $13.4

No position

Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78%
Current value: $11.47
Potential payout: $14.71
Potential profit: $3.24
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $1.76

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $6.96
Potential payout: $9.47
Potential profit: $2.51
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $2.41

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $693.73

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $665.88

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $636.11

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $629.96

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $539.28

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $532.55

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $409.78

Yes position

Will the US strike Yemen next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $389.23

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $259.32

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $251.57

No position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.21

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.91

Yes position

Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-15?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.6

No position

Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.27

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.43

No position

Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.74

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.42

No position

Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.3

No position

Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.82

No position

Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.89

No position

Will the US strike Syria next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.12

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 42% 100 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

No 72% 100 shares
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Yes 22% 79.99 shares
Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 19, 2026?

No 99.7% 263.93 shares
Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 17, 2026?

Yes 96.7% 148.24 shares
Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 17, 2026?

Yes 96.6% 26.42 shares
Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 17, 2026?

No 16.9% 19.86 shares
Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 17, 2026?

No 22.5% 57.22 shares
Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 17, 2026?

No 42.1% 19.46 shares
Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 17, 2026?

No 36% 19 shares
Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 17, 2026?

No 25% 5.86 shares
Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 17, 2026?

Yes 86.4% 12.9 shares