Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $625
- Potential profit
- $625
- User PnL
- -$10
Polymarket Trader
baselin
0xc35fa3901e72cd80ca00120f4e5c0ee22db110ec
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $629.59
- Realized PnL
- $396.22
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $19.31
- Potential payout
- $429.16
- Potential profit
- $409.85
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$180.69
Yes position
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $3.63
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $246.38
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$46.37
Yes position
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $184.5
- Potential payout
- $184.5
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $84.5
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $155.86
- Potential payout
- $156.25
- Potential profit
- $0.39
- User PnL
- $55.86
Yes position
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $1.18
- Potential payout
- $147.06
- Potential profit
- $145.88
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$48.82
No position
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $136.99
- Potential payout
- $136.99
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $36.99
Yes position
Will Consensys IPO by September 30 2026?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $7.93
- Potential payout
- $93.28
- Potential profit
- $85.35
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$42.07
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $81.27
- Potential payout
- $81.27
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $31.27
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80.65
- Potential profit
- $80.65
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $38.93
- Potential payout
- $75.59
- Potential profit
- $36.66
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$11.07
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.41
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.08
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.99
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 3?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.14
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.05
Gen.G position
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.94
Yes position
Will CrowdStrike Holdings (CRWD) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.64
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 54.2% 184.5 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes 66.1% 75.59 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes 20% 250 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12:00AM-12:05AM ETUp 84% 118.51 shares
- S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?No 73% 136.99 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 64% 156.25 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 3?Down 74% 135.14 shares
- Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?Yes 47.1% 212.26 shares
- Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?Yes 34% 147.06 shares
- Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?Yes 46.1% 216.9 shares
- Will CrowdStrike Holdings (CRWD) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 88% 113.64 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes 62% 80.65 shares