Polymarket Trader

lionthefox

@lionthefox

0xc36a4fc205df253286a58f8a84613670c677be63

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.06K
Realized PnL: $2.05K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Lennart Kahl score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $948.52
Potential payout: $953.77
Potential profit: $5.25
User PnL: $1.43

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 11.7%
Current value: $107.36
Potential payout: $921.52
Potential profit: $814.16
Multiplier: 8.58x
User PnL: -$353.4

No position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 88.4%
Current value: $814.16
Potential payout: $921.52
Potential profit: $107.36
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $353.4

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $11.38
Potential payout: $205
Potential profit: $193.62
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: $4.26

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.3%
Current value: $26.51
Potential payout: $200.1
Potential profit: $173.58
Multiplier: 7.55x
User PnL: -$5.64

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.6%
Current value: $43.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $156.9
Multiplier: 4.64x
User PnL: $14.5

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.3%
Current value: $20.5
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $179.5
Multiplier: 9.76x
User PnL: -$5.18

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 16.3%
Current value: $32.5
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $167.5
Multiplier: 6.15x
User PnL: $14.52

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.8%
Current value: $15.5
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $184.5
Multiplier: 12.90x
User PnL: -$2.62

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $5.3
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $194.7
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: -$1.72

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $9.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $190.9
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $11.3
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $188.69
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: -$4.8

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $14.43
Potential payout: $125.51
Potential profit: $111.08
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$6.36

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $258.31

Yes position

Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $182.28

Yes position

Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 8?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $131.32

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.21

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET

Ends Oct 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.18

Yes position

Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-10-26?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.29

Yes position

Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.55

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.65

Yes position

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.45

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.94

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.86

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.36

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.39

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on December 8?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.16

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.17

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.91

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.65

No position

Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.61

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.24

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.25

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the announcers say "Messi" during the Uruguay vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 98% 10 shares
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 2.5

Under 56% 17.86 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Yes 12% 50 shares
Will Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.3% 918.37 shares
Will Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.1% 250 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.5% 1,680 shares
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)

Morocco 33% 20 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Yes 11% 48.46 shares
Will Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.6% 148.13 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Yes 15% 40 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 41% 10 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 48% 20.83 shares