Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $181.8
- Potential profit
- $181.8
- User PnL
- -$9.09
Polymarket Trader
chaoxin
0xc36c22c374c16a1e1b972127881e6de67b63b7b3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $18.28
- Realized PnL
- $59.28
- Win rate
- 65%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 20
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $177.11
- Potential profit
- $177.11
- User PnL
- -$15.94
Yes position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $106.8
- Potential profit
- $106.8
- User PnL
- -$8.17
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $89.86
- Potential profit
- $89.86
- User PnL
- -$19.77
Y
Yes position
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.2%
- Current value
- $18.28
- Potential payout
- $86.42
- Potential profit
- $68.14
- Multiplier
- 4.73x
- User PnL
- $12.49
Y
Yes position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.47
- Potential profit
- $83.47
- User PnL
- -$5.29
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $67.24
- Potential profit
- $67.24
- User PnL
- -$11.43
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53.77
- Potential profit
- $53.77
- User PnL
- -$16.67
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $48.5
- Potential profit
- $48.5
- User PnL
- -$15.52
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.74
No position
Will Gamba Ōsaka win on 2026-04-19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.41
Heat position
Heat vs. Cavaliers
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.1
Nets position
Grizzlies vs. Nets
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.81
76ers position
76ers vs. Clippers
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.69
Avalanche position
Avalanche vs. Capitals
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.29
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.58
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.38
Hawks position
Hawks vs. Mavericks
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.08
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.25
Lakers position
Mavericks vs. Lakers
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.15
Celtics position
Celtics vs. Bucks
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.37
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.13
Jazz position
Jazz vs. Rockets
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.08
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Pistons
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.75
Jazz position
Jazz vs. Grizzlies
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.69
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$16.53
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$18.67
No position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$18.98
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran successfully targets shipping on July 6?Yes 6.7% 86.42 shares
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?Yes 6.3% 83.47 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 5% 181.8 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes 22% 89.86 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?Yes 9% 177.11 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?No 90% 62.52 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes 31% 53.77 shares
- Iran leadership change by May 31?Yes 7.6% 106.8 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 21?No 89% 37.52 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes 32% 48.5 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 8?No 86% 68.45 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes 17% 67.24 shares