Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 11, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.59K
- Potential profit
- $1.59K
- User PnL
- -$3.17
Polymarket Trader
Touchou
@mwqnw52694387
0xc38c7c0821f7366e70460709249140cdd9168d7e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $177.86
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by November 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.85
- Potential profit
- $8.85
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.63
- Potential profit
- $2.63
- User PnL
- -$1.3
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.3
- Potential profit
- $2.3
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Yes position
Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 24?
Ends Oct 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.2
- Potential profit
- $2.2
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.71
- Potential profit
- $1.71
- User PnL
- -$1.3
Yes position
Will Solana dip to $120 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.6
- Potential profit
- $1.6
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108
No position
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.96
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.36
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.3
No position
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 40m?
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.33
Yes position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.19
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.27
No position
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.8
No position
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.67
Yes position
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.22
No position
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 14?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31
No position
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 12, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27
No position
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 19?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.93
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.77
No position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.74
No position
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for November 23-30 be between 20,000,000 and 22,000,000?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?No 99.9% 166.17 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?No 99.9% 166.17 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?No 99.6% 165.74 shares
- Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 99.9% 165.17 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?No 99.2% 165.31 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?No 99.9% 164.16 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?No 94.3% 164.16 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 48 and 49 million views on day 3?No 99.9% 155.16 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?No 99.5% 154.77 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?Yes 52.1% 2.3 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 14?Yes 99.9% 1.5 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?No 86.7% 149.96 shares