Polymarket Trader

mdrzn - 30693

0xc3a09cd22f5e469b33250aa6351111de621feabd

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $1.21K
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $47.94
Potential payout: $2.04K
Potential profit: $1.99K
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$0.97

Yes position

Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 14.4%
Current value: $259.2
Potential payout: $1.8K
Potential profit: $1.54K
Multiplier: 6.94x
User PnL: $228.6

Gianmarco Ferrari position

Cattolica: Gianmarco Ferrari vs Roberto Carballes Baena

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.37K
Potential profit: $1.37K
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $2.69
Potential payout: $769.23
Potential profit: $766.54
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$7.31

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $434.78
Potential profit: $434.78
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 60.9%
Current value: $228.34
Potential payout: $374.94
Potential profit: $146.6
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: $25.14

Yes position

Anthropic IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78%
Current value: $280.04
Potential payout: $359.02
Potential profit: $78.99
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $137.59

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 47%
Current value: $137.58
Potential payout: $292.73
Potential profit: $155.15
Multiplier: 2.13x
User PnL: $39.58

Yes position

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $39.29
Potential payout: $238.1
Potential profit: $198.81
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$10.71

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $8
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $192
Multiplier: 25.00x
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $14.7
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $185.3
Multiplier: 13.61x
User PnL: -$5.8

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $192.31
Potential profit: $192.31
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $3.28
Potential payout: $187.69
Potential profit: $184.41
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$7.25

No position

Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $119.7
Potential payout: $140
Potential profit: $20.3
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $17.5

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $138.46
Potential profit: $138.46
User PnL: -$31

Yes position

Deel IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $6.13
Potential payout: $136.32
Potential profit: $130.18
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$7.67

Yes position

Will Anthropic's public ticker be $AAI?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.84
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $119.16
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$4.16

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $13.2
Potential payout: $112.36
Potential profit: $99.16
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $3.2

Yes position

Will Gerlando Alonge win the 2026 Agrigento mayoral election?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $110
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $7.23
Potential payout: $108.7
Potential profit: $101.47
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$2.77

Yes position

Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANAI?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 9.3%
Current value: $9.37
Potential payout: $101.34
Potential profit: $91.97
Multiplier: 10.81x
User PnL: $3.53

Yes position

Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $3.25
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $96.75
Multiplier: 30.77x
User PnL: -$1.75

No position

Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $27.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $72.5
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will "Xi" be said on the Lemonade Stand Podcast?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$7

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?

Yes 17% 99.99 shares
Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?

No 26% 50 shares
Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?

No 26% 50 shares
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Yes 3.9% 59.99 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 33% 50 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

No 10% 203 shares
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?

Yes 11.5% 87.03 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

No 12.9% 77.41 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Yes 14% 71.49 shares
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16% 62.5 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.8% 100 shares
Cattolica: Gianmarco Ferrari vs Roberto Carballes Baena

Gianmarco Ferrari 0.1% 1,000 shares