Polymarket Trader

Cryptooralce

0xc3aa35df7917a873544eb993b534e5c04721bddc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $311.05
Realized PnL: $2.38K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.2K
Potential profit: $17.2K
User PnL: -$29.8

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.82K
Potential profit: $1.82K
User PnL: -$30.24

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by 2.2% in February?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.47K
Potential profit: $1.47K
User PnL: -$30.8

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.19
Potential payout: $592.97
Potential profit: $591.79
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$48.68

Nothing position

Nothing Ever Happens: February

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $578.01
Potential profit: $578.01
User PnL: -$505.86

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $522.2
Potential profit: $522.2
User PnL: -$314.92

Yes position

Pierce Brosnan announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.22
Potential payout: $436.07
Potential profit: $435.86
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.58

Yes position

Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.16
Potential payout: $311.1
Potential profit: $310.94
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$21.54

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% in February?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $310.94
Potential profit: $310.94
User PnL: -$14.85

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Edition

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $257.15
Potential profit: $257.15
User PnL: -$123.75

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% in February?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $237.31
Potential profit: $237.31
User PnL: -$30.4

Yes position

Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% in February?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $233.39
Potential profit: $233.39
User PnL: -$15.24

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $30.46
Potential payout: $196.51
Potential profit: $166.05
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $0.54

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $139.07
Potential payout: $166.55
Potential profit: $27.48
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $38.2

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: US Strike Edition

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $151.17
Potential profit: $151.17
User PnL: -$71.45

No position

Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in February?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $140.81
Potential profit: $140.81
User PnL: -$88.2

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $18.53
Potential payout: $100.16
Potential profit: $81.63
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$11.23

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: Interest Rates

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $91.82
Potential profit: $91.82
User PnL: -$43.89

No position

Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in February?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $77.52
Potential payout: $77.52
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $27.6

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.38
Potential profit: $55.38
User PnL: -$32.23

No position

Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in February?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.36
Potential profit: $54.36
User PnL: -$29.9

No position

Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $5.9
Potential payout: $47.19
Potential profit: $41.29
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$3.76

No position

Will Ghislaine Maxwell Testify to Congress about Epstein?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $38.01
Potential payout: $38.38
Potential profit: $0.36
User PnL: $8.04

Yes position

Avatar 4 greenlit by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.13
Potential profit: $38.13
User PnL: -$9.72

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in November?

Ends Dec 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $289.4

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: January

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $214.08

Yes position

Megaquake in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $213.2

Yes position

Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $213.09

Yes position

Will Anthony Davis be traded this season?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $165.41

No position

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $146.76

Yes position

Will Apple be the second most valuable company on October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $127.41

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: January

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.05

No position

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.47

No position

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.39

No position

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by November 15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.68

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in December?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.41

Yes position

Earthquake 7.0 or above by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.84

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: US Strike Edition

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.27

Yes position

US strikes Iran by Feb 28 Odds >30% by Friday?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.5

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: AI Edition

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.08

Yes position

Will Solana reach $150 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.33

No position

Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded this season?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.18

No position

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.44

No position

Will XRP dip to $1.50 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.52

No position

Will Do Kwon be sentenced to 9–12 years in prison?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.37

No position

Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in July?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.93

No position

Another Earthquake 7.0 or above in May?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.88

No position

Will annual inflation increase by 2.8% in July?

Ends Aug 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.54

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Nothing Ever Happens: Interest Rates

No 50.4% 86.37 shares
Nothing Ever Happens: Interest Rates

No 3.1% 1,280 shares
Nothing Ever Happens: Interest Rates

No 11.9% 62.59 shares
Nothing Ever Happens: Interest Rates

No 7.9% 551.5 shares
Nothing Ever Happens: Interest Rates

Yes 93% 63 shares
Nothing Ever Happens: Interest Rates

No 6% 666.67 shares
Nothing Ever Happens: Interest Rates

No 4% 375 shares
Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei

Yes 55.9% 60.86 shares
Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei

Yes 53% 64.15 shares
Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei

Yes 56% 59.82 shares
Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei

Yes 59.7% 58.6 shares
Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei

Yes 69% 50.72 shares