Polymarket Trader

cgp

0xc3b071e7048c8fd659b24a65a0efa6f2ac71867e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.17K
Realized PnL: $2.54K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.8%
Current value: $250.08
Potential payout: $763.6
Potential profit: $513.52
Multiplier: 3.05x
User PnL: $100.08

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $135.86
Potential payout: $327.38
Potential profit: $191.52
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $35.86

Yes position

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $176.06
Potential payout: $281.69
Potential profit: $105.63
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: -$23.94

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $56.94
Potential payout: $277.78
Potential profit: $220.83
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$43.06

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 41.6%
Current value: $79.9
Potential payout: $192.31
Potential profit: $112.4
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$20.1

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.9%
Current value: $35.45
Potential payout: $178.57
Potential profit: $143.13
Multiplier: 5.04x
User PnL: -$14.55

Yes position

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $65.46
Potential payout: $170.03
Potential profit: $104.57
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: -$34.54

Yes position

Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 58%
Current value: $95.08
Potential payout: $163.93
Potential profit: $68.85
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: -$4.92

Yes position

Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $82.58
Potential payout: $151.52
Potential profit: $68.94
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $32.58

Yes position

Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $87.48
Potential payout: $122.35
Potential profit: $34.87
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: -$12.52

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $50.47
Potential payout: $94.34
Potential profit: $43.87
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $0.47

Yes position

Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 10.2%
Current value: $6.58
Potential payout: $64.56
Potential profit: $57.98
Multiplier: 9.81x
User PnL: -$33.42

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $45.45
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $25.45

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?

Ends Sep 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $461.48

Yes position

Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?

Ends Feb 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $337.95

Yes position

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?

Ends Sep 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $176.09

No position

Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $146.9

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?

Ends Sep 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.62

Yes position

Will Biden finish his term?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.49

Yes position

Will the USA win Gold in Men's Basketball?

Ends Aug 11, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100

Yes position

Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.62

Yes position

Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.29

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.05

Yes position

New Pope in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.72

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.19

Yes position

Bitcoin above $60,000 on September 20?

Ends Sep 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.44

Yes position

Will $BTC reach 70k in July?

Ends Jul 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70

Yes position

Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.41

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.15

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.29

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.97

Patriots position

Patriots vs. Broncos

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.77

Yes position

Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.08

Florida position

Florida vs. Houston

Ends Apr 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.15

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.93

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.34

No position

Will DeepSeek still be #1 Free app on Friday?

Ends Feb 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.23

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?

Yes 53% 94.34 shares
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 42% 119.05 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 44% 45.45 shares
Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?

Yes 98% 224.72 shares
Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?

Yes 89% 224.72 shares
Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?

Yes 84% 120.48 shares
Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?

Yes 83% 120.48 shares
Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?

Yes 74.1% 102.04 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 29% 44.44 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 45% 44.44 shares
Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?

Yes 49% 102.04 shares
Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?

Yes 32% 62.5 shares