Polymarket Trader

moeffel

0xc3b0a7e2f563c0098eb3b6da69d47b519edcb469

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.17
Realized PnL: -$0.91
Win rate: 60%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 5
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $499.75
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.5
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.35
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.65
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.65

Yes position

Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 2 South Africa?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $45.45
User PnL: -$1

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $2.57
Potential payout: $37.04
Potential profit: $34.46
Multiplier: 14.39x
User PnL: $1.57

Yes position

Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.3
Potential profit: $30.3
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.18
Potential profit: $18.18
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.43
Potential profit: $16.43
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 2 Czechia?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Qatar leading at halftime?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 South Africa?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.69
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Paraguay?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $6.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 South Africa?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $5.88
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $5.88
User PnL: -$1

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33
Potential profit: $3.33
User PnL: -$1

Under position

Mexico vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.09
Potential profit: $2.09
User PnL: -$0.25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Fermín López score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.04

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 2% 50 shares
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.4% 71.42 shares
Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?

Yes 7.7% 14.7 shares
Qatar leading at halftime?

Yes 9% 11.11 shares
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Paraguay?

Yes 15% 6.67 shares
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 South Africa?

Yes 13% 7.69 shares
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa?

Yes 28% 3.57 shares
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?

Yes 4.3% 23.25 shares
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 2 South Africa?

Yes 1.4% 71.43 shares
Mexico vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Under 35% 6.24 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?

No 20% 5 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

No 2.7% 37.04 shares