Polymarket Trader

0xc3ba1425D384d289d78D6343bD44b391C35c9f62-1760468880184

0xc3ba1425d384d289d78d6343bd44b391c35c9f62

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $10.09
Realized PnL: $8.02
Win rate: 88.9%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 9
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the US strike Colombia next?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $191.02
Potential profit: $191.02
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $157.5
Potential profit: $157.5
User PnL: -$3.31

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $114.38
Potential profit: $114.38
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the US strike Cuba next?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.48
Potential profit: $34.48
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $6.48
Potential payout: $12.83
Potential profit: $6.35
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$0.19

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 6?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 32.6%
Current value: $3.26
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $6.75
Multiplier: 3.07x
User PnL: $2.26

Yes position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.77
Potential profit: $8.77
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $0.36
Potential payout: $3.45
Potential profit: $3.09
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$0.64

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.75
Potential profit: $2.75
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.22
Potential profit: $2.22
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 23?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.13

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 29?

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.76

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 30?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.39

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.26

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.23

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 28?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 3?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 30?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 22?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.98

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 6?

Down 8% 12.5 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 3?

Up 99.5% 9.05 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 30?

Down 97.9% 1.02 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 30?

Down 72% 1.39 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 29?

Down 21% 4.76 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Yes 46% 11.36 shares
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

No 52% 12.83 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 28?

Up 99.9% 7.17 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 28?

Up 97.6% 7.17 shares
US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?

Yes 1.7% 58.82 shares
US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?

Yes 1.8% 55.56 shares
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?

Yes 45% 2.22 shares